Southern Jaguars vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/03/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 3, 2023

Venue:  Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Southern +26.5, MS State -26.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Southern +26.5, MS State -26.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Southern +26.5, MS State -26.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

Southern Jaguars:  1-6 (0-0) (8th place, SWAC)

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  6-1 (0-0) (4th place, SEC)

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Southern Jaguars:  0-5  last 5

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  4-1  last 5

Southern is entering this game with a 1-6 record overall and they are 1-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Marquette Golden Eagles in their last game. Jordan Johnson led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Tai'Reon Joseph was next on the team with 12. Brandon Davis led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Tidjiane Dioumassi led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 40.7% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 33.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 67.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 88 PPG against them. Southern has an ATS record of 1-6 this season and their O/U record is 4-3.

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game. Josh Hubbard led the team in points in that game with 17 while Dashawn Davis was next on the team with 12. Jimmy Bell Jr. led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Jimmy Bell Jr. led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 30.8% from the field, 23.3% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.3 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 5-2 this season and their O/U record is 2-5.

The current betting odds have Mississippi State listed as a 26.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Mississippi State enters this game as a ranked team and they have looked good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall. They have also looked really good in their home games with their 3-0 home record. Meanwhile, Southern has looked terrible this season with their 1-6 record overall and they have also looked terrible in their road games as all 7 of those have been on the road. They aren't getting the best situation here either since Mississippi State has been sitting on their 1st loss of the season over the last few days and they will be looking to come out strong in this game. Mississippi State has looked a lot better in their home games all season too so look for them to put on a show on their home court as a response to their loss the other night. The best way to place a bet here is on Mississippi State to cover the spread in this game. 

Southern Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, December 3, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is MS State 86 Southern 52.

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Southern Jaguars: 1-6 ATS in all games. 3-6 ATS after allowing 90 points or more. 12-4 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive road losses. 8-3 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive losses. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 48-27 ATS in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 10-5 ATS off a road loss. 23-13 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 11-6 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 

Southern Jaguars:  None.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  T. Smith (F) Early Jan - Foot.

“Man, they move the ball. As long as they continue to share the ball like that and are able to harass people defensively, they're going to remain one of the top teams in the country.” - Kevin Johnson after his team’s loss against Marquette in their last game. 

“We had to learn a valuable lesson. I was hoping we could stay away from learning a valuable lesson.” - Chris Jans after his team’s loss against GA Tech in their last game on Tuesday.

T. Dioumassi 

A. Jacks 

T. Joseph 

F. Ndumanya 

J. Wilkens

J. Bell 

D. Davis

T. Fort 

D. Jeffries 

C. Matthews

PPG: T. Joseph (17.9)

APG: T. Dioumassi (3.9)

Reb/G: B. Noel (3.7)

PPG: J. Hubbard (16.3)

APG: D. Davis (2.9)

Reb/G: J. Bell Jr. (10)

Coaches:

Southern Jaguars: Kevin Johnson (2nd season)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Chris Jans (2nd season)