South Florida Bulls vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/18/2021

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 18, 2021

Venue:  FLA Live Arena, Sunrise, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USF +17, Florida -17; Over/Under:  123.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USF +17.5, Florida -17.5; Over/Under:  123.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USF +17.5, Florida -17.5; Over/Under:  123.5 points

 

South Florida Bulls:  4-4 (9th place, AAC)

Florida Gators:  7-3 (10 th place, SEC)

 

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South Florida Bulls:  2-3 last 5

Florida Gators:  2-3 last 5

 

 

 

USF is coming into this game with a 4-4 record overall and they are 0-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Boston College Eagles and the South Carolina State Bulldogs while their win came against the Austin Peay Governors in their last game. Javon Greene led the team in points in that game with 14 while Caleb Murphy was next on the team with 12 points. Jamir Chaplin also scored 10 points in that one as well. Murphy led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Greene led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 39.6% from the field, 13.3% from 3-point range, and 69% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 56.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 56.4 PPG against them. USF has an ATS record of 3-5 this season and their O/U record is 0-8.

 

 

Florida is coming into this game with a 7-3 record overall and they are 2-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game on Saturday afternoon. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the North Florida Ospreys while their 3 losses in that span came against the Oklahoma Sooners, the Texas Southern Tigers, and the Maryland Terrapins in their last game. Phlandrous Fleming Jr. and Tyree Appleby off the bench both led the team in points in that game with 15 each while Colin Castleton, Anthony Duruji, and CJ Felder were all next on the team with 9 points each. Myreon Jones and Fleming Jr. both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Fleming Jr. led the team in rebounds himself with 11. They were 37.9% from the field, 40.7% with their 3-pointers, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.2 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 6-4 this season and their O/U record is 4-5-1.

 

USF is coming into this game as a 17.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game is on a neutral site so Florida will not have home advantage here and that is going to hurt them since this is a state rivalry game and USF will definitely be coming to play their best for Florida here. Neither of these teams have been playing well coming into this game and both teams only have 1 win in their last few games so it is hard to see either team pulling away by a lot here. USF does not have a good offense and has been averaging a lot less points than Florida has been but their defense is not as bad as their offense is and they are allowing less than 60 PPG this season. USF will put up a fight here because of the team they are playing and what the game means to their rivalry so this should be a closer game and Florida has not really been that great this season either. The best bet to place in this game is on USF to cover the spread here.

 

South Florida Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, December 18, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 69 USF 61.

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South Florida Bulls: 22-37 O/U in all games. 9-19 O/U when the total is 129.5 or less. 66-99 O/U after a non-conference game. 11-20 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in a week. 7-18 O/U in non-conference games. 2-9 O/U after allowing 55 points or less. 1-6 O/U after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite.

Florida Gators: 5-12 O/U as a favorite of 10 or more points. 3-9 O/U off an upset loss as a favorite. 17-34 O/U after a close loss by 3 points or less. 8-14 O/U after 1 or more consecutive losses.

 

 

South Florida Bulls:  None.

Florida Gators:  K. Johnson (F) Out indefinitely - Chest injury.

 

 

“Not coming up with that rebound clean was disappointing. We need to cover on the baseline out of bounds.” - USF coach Brian Gregory after his team’s loss against South Carolina State a few weeks ago.

 

 

“Colin was really good. He was aggressive. He imposed his will on the interior. It started with the way he approached his defensive effort.” - Mike White after their win against North Florida.

 

 

 

J. Boggs 

J. Chaplin 

J. Greene 

C. Murphy 

Russel Tchewa

 

T. Appleby 

C. Castleton

A. Duruji 

M. Jones 

B. McKissic

 

 

PPG: C. Murphy (12.6)

APG: C. Murphy (3.6)

Reb/G: R. Tchewa (5.8)

 

PPG: C. Castleton (15)

APG: T. Appleby (2.5)

Reb/G: C. Castleton (9.4)

 

Coaches:

South Florida Bulls: Brian Gregory (5th season)

Florida Gators: Michael White (7th season)