by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 08, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 12, 2024
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: South Carolina +21, Alabama -21; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: South Carolina +21, Alabama -21; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: South Carolina +21.5, Alabama -21.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
South Carolina Gamecocks: 3-2 (1-2) (13th place, SEC)
Alabama Crimson Tide: 4-1 (1-1) (8th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
South Carolina Gamecocks: lost their last game at home against the Mississippi Rebels 27-3.
Alabama Crimson Tide: lost their last game on the road against the Vanderbilt Commodores 40-35.
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis
South Carolina is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Ole Miss 27-3. LaNorris Sellers was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 162 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. LaNorris Sellers led the team in rushing yards with 55. Mazeo Bennett Jr. led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 3 receptions. TJ Sanders led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Dylan Stewart led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Alabama is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Vanderbilt 40-35. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 310 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jamarion Miller led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 2 TDs. Ryan Williams led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jihaad Campbell led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
South Carolina vs Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 21 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but they are 1-1 in their conference games. They are coming off a really bad loss on the road against Vanderbilt in their last one, losing as the number 1 ranked team right after pulling off a home upset against Georgia. That loss was embarrassing for the program, but now they will be back at home and looking to take out from frustrations from that loss. Meanwhile, South Carolina has looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall, but they have struggled a lot more in the SEC with their 1-2 conference record. They are coming off a really bad loss themselves, losing at home to a much stronger Ole Miss team but only putting up 3 points in that one. South Carolina is starting to struggle more as their schedule gets tougher and this is still an Alabama team that is one of the best in the nation. Alabama will be looking to bounce back and they can't afford to lose another game this season so don't expect them to take their foot off the gas here with the way the defense has played the last 2 weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
South Carolina Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 12, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 48 South Carolina 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
South Carolina Gamecocks: 1-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 5-10 1H ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-9 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 7-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 4-1 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game. 8-3 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 12-5 ATS in home lined games. 12-7 ATS against conference opponents. 11-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 7-1 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-6 OVER against conference opponents. 6-1 OVER versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less.
Key Injuries
South Carolina Gamecocks: L. Sellers (QB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Moore (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Floyd (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Colasurdo (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Alabama Crimson Tide: Q. Russaw (LB) Questionable - Leg. C. Adams (WR) Questionable - Arm. J. Hale (WR) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We were very undisciplined, to say the least, and that starts with me. We had a great week of practice, and I'm shocked at the way that we played.” - Shane Beamer after his team’s loss against Ole Miss in their last game.
“We’re going to find out really how much we care about each other and what it looks like moving forward. We’ve been tested in different ways really a lot of the games here this season, and this is a different type of test now in our response.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s loss against Vandy in their last game.
Starting Lineups
South Carolina Gamecocks
WR Brown, Jared
WR Jacobs, Vandrevius
WR Bennett Jr., Mazeo
TE Simon, Joshua
TE Hunt, Brady
QB Sellers, LaNorris
RB Sanders, Raheim
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Williams, Ryan
WR Bernard, Germie
WR Law, Kendrick
TE Dippre, CJ
TE Ouzts, Robbie
QB Milroe, Jalen
RB Miller, Jam
Statistical Leaders
South Carolina Gamecocks
Passing: L. Sellers (555)
Rushing: R. Sanders (315)
Receiving: M. Bennett (200)
Touchdowns: R. Sanders (4)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (1274)
Rushing: J. Miller (318)
Receiving: R. Williams (544)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (9)
Coaches:
South Carolina Gamecocks: Shane Beamer (4th season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
