South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/02/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, November 2, 2023

Venue:  Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  South Alabama +6.5, Troy -6.5; Over/Under:  46 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  South Alabama +6, Troy -6; Over/Under:  46 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  South Alabama +6.5, Troy -6.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

South Alabama Jaguars:  4-4 (2-2) (4th place, Sun Belt West)

Troy Trojans:  6-2 (3-1) (1st place, Sun Belt West)

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South Alabama Jaguars:  lost their last game at home against the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 33-20.

Troy Trojans:  won their last game on the road against the Texas State Bobcats 31-13.

South Alabama is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Louisiana-Lafayette 33-20. Carter Bradley was the starting QB and he completed 29/49 passes for 381 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. La'Damian Webb led the team in rushing yards with 96 and 1 TD. Jamaal Pritchett led the receivers with 168 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 2 TDs. Quetin Wilfawn led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Quetin Wilfawn led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Troy is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Texas State 31-13. Gunnar Watson was the starting QB and he completed 26/40 passes for 392 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kimani Vidal led the team in rushing yards with 43. Jabre Barber led the receivers with 160 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Caleb Ransaw led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Richard Jibunor led the defense in sacks with 1. Reddy Steward and Jordan Stringer each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Troy listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Troy is 6-2 overall this season and they are also 3-1 in conference play as they have looked like one of the best teams in the Sun Belt this year. They are also 3-1 in their home games and have played a lot better since conference play started as they look to defend their championship. South Alabama also has a really good team this year but they are only 4-4 overall as they have stumbled in some of their games and they are also just 2-2 in their conference games too. They have struggled more against some of the good teams in their conference and they have also struggled in road games with their 2-2 road record. South Alabama also lost at home to Louisiana last week and even though they will be looking to bounce back in this game, they are going to struggle against this Troy defense that hasn't been giving up many points in their games. Troy has been rolling in their games lately and their defense will be key in picking up this home win. The best way to place a bet here is on Troy to cover the spread in this game. 

South Alabama Troy Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Thursday, November 2, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Troy 28 South Alabama 14.

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South Alabama Jaguars: 6-13 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 22-42 ATS after playing a game at home. 10-23 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. 12-4 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 8-2 UNDER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite.

Troy Trojans: 5-1 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins. 12-5 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 6-0 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 12-4 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 8-2 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

South Alabama Jaguars:  C. Bradley (QB) Ques Thurs - Knee. B. McReynolds (RB) Out indefinitely - Collarbone. D. Voisin (WR) out for season - Knee.

Troy Trojans:  J. Ingram (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Bracy (S) Out indefinitely - Suspension.

“I think compared to some of the other losses we’ve had, I thought this team outplayed us. I thought they out-physicaled us, and outplayed us.” - Kane Wommack after his team’s loss against ULL in their last game. 

"We did a lot of bending, more than I'd like, but at the end of the day how many points you score is what matters; to hold this offense to 13 points is a pretty special night." - Jon Sumrall after his team’s win against Texas State in their last game.

WR Pritchett, Jamaal  

WR Ivory, Javon  

WR Lacy, Caullin 

TE Sefcik, Lincoln 

TE Crum, Brandon 

QB Bradley, Carter 

RB Webb, La'Damian 

WR Lewis, Chris 

WR Barber, Jabre 

WR Stoudemire, Deshon 

TE Ollendieck, Clayton 

QB Watson, Gunnar 

RB Vidal, Kimani 

Passing: C. Bradley (2156)

Rushing: L. Webb (674)

Receiving: C. Lacy (957)

Touchdowns: L. Webb (13)

Passing: G. Watson (2158)

Rushing: K. Vidal (994)

Receiving: J. Barber (615)

Touchdowns: K. Vidal (7)

Coaches:

South Alabama Jaguars: Kane Wommack (3rd season)

Troy Trojans: Jon Sumrall (2nd season)