South Alabama Jaguars vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Doyt Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jaguars -14, Falcons +14; Over/Under:  50.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jaguars -14.5, Falcons +14.5; Over/Under:  50 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jaguars -14.5, Falcons +14.5; Over/Under:  50 points

Season Record

South Alabama Jaguars:  1-0 (2nd place, Sun Belt Group B)
Bowling Green Falcons:  0-1 (6th place, MAC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is 15-5 L20 NCAAF and 9-2 L11 (10*) NCAAF. Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


South Alabama Jaguars vs Bowling Green Falcons Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
South Alabama Jaguars:  won 1
Bowling Green Falcons:  lost 1

Offensive Analysis

Last season the South Alabama Jaguars averaged a 62.4% completion percentage, 247.2 passing yards, and 1.6 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 112 rushing yards and 0.6 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Bowling Green Falcons were averaging a 43.2% completion percentage, 142.4 passing yards, and 0.2 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 184 rushing yards and 1 touchdown per game on the ground.

Defensive Analysis

Last season the South Alabama Jaguars were allowing teams a 66% completion percentage, 261.5 passing yards, and 1.4 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 175.1 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Bowling Green Falcons were allowing teams a 64.9% completion percentage, 165.6 passing yards, and 2.4 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 310.2 rushing yards and 3.2 touchdowns per game on the ground.


Jaguars vs Falcons Prediction

The South Alabama Jaguars are coming into this college football game sitting in 2nd place of the Sun Belt Group B with a 1-0 record. They won their regular season opener against Southern Miss with a final score of 31-7. Jake Bentley had a great game in that one completing 17/22 passes for 269 yards and 2 TDs. Their running game did not do much at all in their last game with Kareem Walker leading the team with 26 rushing yds on 18 carries. Bentley scored the only rushing touchdown. Jalen Tolbert had a fantastic game leading his team in receiving with 168 total yards on 5 receptions. Caulin Lacy also racked up 67 yards on 5 receptions. It was Kareem Walker and Trent Tyre who each caught a touchdown pass though. Keith Gallmon led the team on defense with 5 solo tackles and 2 assists. Shawn Jennings, Christian Bell, and Carlos Johnson all recorded a sack each in that game with a few others recording some half-sacks. It was Shawn Steele and Davyn Flenord who each caught 1 interception for the team.

The BGSU Falcons are coming into this game sitting in 6th place of the MAC East with a 0-1 record. They lost their first game on the schedule of the college football season to Tennessee 38-6. Matt McDonald played the entire game in their last one and he had a decent outing completing 25/38 passes for 187 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Their running game did not do anything at all as Nick Mosley led the team with 26 rushing yards on 8 carries. Their receivers did not have any one player stand out either. Austin Osborne led the way with 46 receiving yards on 8 receptions. None of their receivers hit 50 yards in that game. Davon Ferguson had a great game on defense with 7 solo tackles and 2 assists as well as Sy Dabney who had 6 solo tackles and 4 assists also. Darren Anders, Karl Brooks, and Walter Haire all recorded 1 sack each in the game. 

Bowling Green did not look good in their first game failing to score a single touchdown while South Alabama impressed with a big double digit win. The spread is high but this is one of the worst teams in the MAC so the Jaguars should be able to cover this spread in this game. There is some positive value for a wager on that.

Jaguars Falcons Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for September 11th, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 31 Falcons 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this South Alabama Jaguars Bowling Green Falcons prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

South Alabama Jaguars: 13-10 ATS in all games.
Bowling Green Falcons: 0-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 3-13 ATS as an underdog. 1-6 ATS after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game.

Key Injuries

South Alabama Jaguars:  P. Rosette (S) Out for season - Knee injury.
Bowling Green Falcons:  T. Raymore (RB) out for season - Knee injury.

Players to Watch

South Alabama Jaguars: Jake Bentley is one player to watch in this game. He played great in the last game and will now be up against some weaker competition. Watch for him to have another massive game as he leads his team to another big win.
Bowling Green Falcons: Matt McDonald is one player to watch in these home games. The Falcons basically have no run game so it will be up to him to lead them and make big plays in the passing game if they want to have a chance at winning the game. 

Notable Quotes

“He went through the protocol and practiced today and he felt good. He did everything we asked him to do on the front end. And, you know, I don’t get involved in those [medical decisions]. When he’s cleared, he’s ready to go. And so it was good news for us.” - Kane Wommack on his starting quarterback returning to practice.
"Our football team was much better at getting aligned (in the first half). We were prepared for the tempo (offense). We tackled better." - Scot Loeffler after their first game of the season.

Starting Lineups

South Alabama Jaguars
WR Tolbert, Jalen 
WR Wayne, Jalen 
WR Lacy, Caullin 
TE Crum, Brandon 
TE Sefcik, Lincoln 
QB Bentley, Jake 
RB Walker, Kareem 
Bowling Green Falcons
WR Broden, Tyrone 
WR Osborne, Austin 
TE Sims, Christian 
TE Bench, Andrew 
QB McDonald, Matt 
RB Stewart, Terion 

Statistical Leaders

South Alabama Jaguars
Passing: J. Bentley (269)
Rushing: K. Walker (26)
Receiving: J. Tolbert (168)
Touchdowns: K. Walker (1)
Sacks: S. Jennings (1)
Tackles: K. Gallmon (5)
Bowling Green Falcons
Passing: M. McDonald (187)
Rushing: N. Mosley (26)
Receiving: A. Osborne (46)
Touchdowns: N/A
Sacks: K. Brooks (1)
Tackles: D. Ferguson (7)
South Alabama Jaguars: Kane Wommack (1st season)
Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

84 degrees F sunny, 55% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 11 mph wind speeds S.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2022 Al McMordie's All Rights Reserved.