SMU Mustangs vs Tulane Green Wave Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/02/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023

Venue:  Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SMU +5.5, Tulane -5.5; Over/Under:  48 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SMU +5.5, Tulane -5.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SMU +5.5, Tulane -5.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

SMU Mustangs:  10-2 (8-0) (2nd place, AAC)

Tulane Green Wave:  11-1 (8-0) (1st place, AAC)

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SMU Mustangs:  won their last game at home against the Navy Midshipmen 59-14.

Tulane Green Wave:  won their last game at home against the UTSA Roadrunners 29-16.

SMU is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Navy 59-14. Preston Stone was the starting QB and he completed 14/19 passes for 322 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Lavine led the team in rushing yards with 49 and 3 TDs. Kelvontay Dixon led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Ahmaad Moses led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Cameron Robertson led the defense in sacks with 2. Isaiah Nwokobia came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Tulane is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UTSA 29-16. Michael Pratt was the starting QB and he completed 9/22 passes for 125 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Makhi Hughes led the team in rushing yards with 166 and 1 TD. Chris Brazzell II led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Jesus Machado led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Keith Cooper Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. Bailey Despanie, Tahir Annoor, and Devean Deal each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Tulane listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the AAC Championship between SMU and Tulane with Tulane getting the home advantage. Tulane has looked really good in their games all season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-0 conference record. They have looked great in their home games too with their 6-1 home record and their only loss this season was against Ole Miss at the beginning of the year in a game they were missing their starting QB in too. Meanwhile, SMU has also looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 8-0 conference record. SMU hasn't had as tough a schedule as Tulane though since Tulane had to beat UTSA last week just to get to this game and defend their title. SMU also lost their 2 games this season on the road and they just lost their starting QB for the season too. Tulane has been one of the best teams in the country going back to last season being in the top 25 and they are going to defend their title in this home game as they have looked so good there all season. The best way to place a bet here is on Tulane to cover the spread in this game. 

SMU Tulane Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Tulane 28 SMU 17.

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SMU Mustangs: 11-24 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 8-20 ATS off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival. 5-11 ATS after playing a game at home. 10-4 UNDER off a home win. 11-5 UNDER after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored. 

Tulane Green Wave: 10-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 8-3 ATS off a home win. 13-5 ATS after playing a game at home. 10-2 UNDER in all games. 9-2 UNDER as a favorite. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 5-1 UNDER after playing a game at home.

SMU Mustangs:  J. Knighton (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. P. Stone (QB) out for season - Leg. J. Kerley (WR) out for season - Knee.

Tulane Green Wave:  S. Clayton-Johnson (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (WR) Ques Sat - Ankle. L. Keys lll (WR) Out Sat - Foot. A. Friloux (DL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Platt Jr. (LB) out for season - Achilles.

"Obviously it's his lower leg, ankle area. He was feeling a lot better a little later. We'll just have to wait and see what it's like later in the week." - Rhett Lashlee on the injury to his starting QB Preston Stone.

“We've got some clutch guys. It's a whole lot of nothing when they drive a long time and don't get any points out of it." - Willie Fritz after his team’s win against UTSA in their last game. 

WR Smith, Key'Shawn 

WR Brinson, Romello 

WR Bailey, Jake 

TE Maryland, RJ 

QB Stone, Preston 

RB Knighton, Jaylan  

WR Keys III, Lawrence 

WR Brazzell II, Chris  

WR Jackson, Jha'Quan 

TE Bauman, Alex 

QB Pratt, Michael 

RB Hughes, Makhi 

Passing: P. Stone (3204)

Rushing: J. Knighton (645)

Receiving: R. Maryland (462)

Touchdowns: R. Maryland (7)

Passing: M. Pratt (2168)

Rushing: M. Hughes (1246)

Receiving: C. Brazzell II (670)

Touchdowns: L. Keys lll (7)

Coaches:

SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (2nd season)

Tulane Green Wave: Willie Fritz (8th season)