SMU Mustangs vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/03/2022

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 3, 2022

Venue:  Apogee Stadium, Denton, TX 

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SMU -11, UNT +11; Over/Under:  69 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SMU -11, UNT +11; Over/Under:  68.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SMU -10.5, UNT +10.5; Over/Under:  68.5 points

 

SMU Mustangs:  0-0 (AAC)

North Texas Mean Green:  1-0 (1st place, C-USA West)

 

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SMU Mustangs:  N/A

North Texas Mean Green:  won their last game on the road against the UTEP Miners 31-13.

 

SMU is playing their season opener here on Saturday and this will also be their first road game of the college football season. They finished last season with a 8-4 record overall and were 3-3 in their road games. They were also 4-4 in their conference games and finished 6th place in the AAC. They did not end their season off with a Bowl game as they were supposed to be in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl against the Virginia Cavaliers but it was canceled due to a covid-19 outbreak. Their offense was averaging 466.8 YPG and 38.4 PPG while their defense was allowing 418.8 YPG and 28.4 PPG against them. Tanner Mordecai led the team in passing with 3,628 passing yards, Tre Siggers led the team in rushing with 727 rushing yards, and Danny Gray led the team in receiving with 803 receiving yards. 

 

 

 

UNT is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 1st home game of the season here. They won against the UTEP Miners in their last game on the road 31-13 in Week 0. Austin Aune started that game at QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 236 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ayo Adeyi led the team in rushing with 80 yards on 17 rushing attempts while Roderic Burns led the team in receiving with 72 yards on 3 receptions. KD Davis led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Keadron Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense recorded any interceptions in that one.

The current betting odds have SMU listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU had a good season last year but they were only 8-4 and were not able to compete with the best of the best in their conference. A lot of those great players in the conference from last season are gone now though, and SMU has an opportunity to be a very dominant team this season with a lot of returning players on both sides of the ball. They have their leading rusher and starting QB returning from last season and they were scoring close to 40 points per game all year. Their defense also has a lot of returning players and they should be even better than they were last season as they continue to develop and improve. UNT had the luxury of playing last week so they are already prepared here with a game under their belt, but they did not play that great in that game as they were playing a bad UTEP team and they also had a very slow start in the game. If they have another bad 1st half here like they did last week then they will put themselves into a hole they can't get out of as SMU has a really good offense and will bury them early with scores if they cannot move the ball. SMU will be ready to take over this conference again and they are going to be hungry for a good start to the season here. The best way to place a bet here is on SMU to cover the spread in this game.

 

SMU North Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 3, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is SMU 38 UNT 17.

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SMU Mustangs: 16-26 ATS as a road favorite. 5-14 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 70. 19-10 OVER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.

North Texas Mean Green: 15-6 ATS off a double digit road win. 21-13 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 24-17 OVER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 

 

 

SMU Mustangs:  B. Corrales (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

North Texas Mean Green:  G. Gunnell (QB) Ques Sat - Eligibility.

 

 

"I'm just trying to walk in what I'm called to do. Yes, I've always wanted to be a head coach." - Rhett Lashlee on starting his job as the new SMU head coach.

 

 

“I turned the ball over late in the first half and missed a couple of throws I wish I could have back. We left a couple of plays out there. One of the biggest things is we need to finish better.” - Austin Aune after their win against the UTEP Miners in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Kerley, Jordan

WR Bailey, Jake

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Redding, Ben 

QB Mordecai, Tanner 

RB Siggers, Tre 

 

WR Shorter, Jyaire

WR Ward, Damon

WR Burns, Roderic 

TE Roberts, Jake 

HB Gumms, Var'Keyes 

QB Aune, Austin 

RB Ragsdale, Ikaika 

 

 

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

 

Passing: A. Aune (236)

Rushing: A. Adeyi (80)

Receiving: R. Burns (72)

Touchdowns: J. Roberts (1)

 

Coaches:

SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (1st season)

North Texas Mean Green: Seth Littrell (7th season)