SMU Mustangs vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/26/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 26, 2024

Venue:  Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SMU -11, Duke +11; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SMU -11.5, Duke +11.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SMU -11.5, Duke +11.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

SMU Mustangs:  6-1 (3-0) (4th place, ACC)

Duke Blue Devils:  6-1 (2-1) (5th place, ACC)

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SMU Mustangs:  won their last game on the road against the Stanford Cardinal 40-10.

Duke Blue Devils:  won their last game at home against the Florida State Seminoles 23-16.

SMU is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Stanford 40-10. Kevin Jennings was the starting QB and he completed 17/27 passes for 322 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brashard Smith led the team in rushing yards with 67. Moochie Dixon led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Ahmaad Moses led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jahfari Harvey led the defense in sacks with 2. Isaiah Nwokobia and Deuce Harmon each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Duke is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida State 23-16. Maalik Murphy was the starting QB and he completed 12/24 passes for 70 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Star Thomas led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 1 TD. Sean Brown led the receivers with 20 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Cameron Bergeron led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Alex Howard led the defense in sacks with 2. Ozzie Nicholas came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have SMU listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. There are still 2 undefeated teams left in the ACC too so SMU really can't afford to lose another game. Meanwhile, Duke has also looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 2-1 conference, but they are lower in the conference since their 1 loss this season did come against an ACC opponent. They haven't really had a tough schedule this season either, but they have still struggled against weaker opponents with both of their conference wins being within 1 score. SMU had a slower start to the season but they have been rolling teams in their games lately, their offense putting a ton of points up and their defense looking a lot better too. They are coming off a road win over Stanford in their last one, but they have also played some good opponents this season as they have a road win over Louisville and their only loss was against BYU who is still undefeated. SMU is looking to prove a point in their new conference this season and as long as they are still in contention to make the ACC Championship, expect them to bring their best effort. The best way to place a bet here is on SMU to cover the spread in this game. 

SMU Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 26, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is SMU 41 Duke 16.

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SMU Mustangs: 1-3 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 1-3 1H ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 1-5 1H ATS in games played on a grass field. 5-1 UNDER in games played on a grass field. 10-5 1H UNDER in road lined games. 6-3 1H UNDER as a road favorite.

Duke Blue Devils: 8-4 ATS as an underdog. 11-5 ATS in home lined games. 11-6 ATS against conference opponents. 8-4 ATS off a home win. 4-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 9-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-3 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 

SMU Mustangs:  R. Maryland (TE) Out - Knee. R. Brinson (WR) Questionable - Knee. Z. Minors (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. J. Knighton (RB) Out - Knee. C. Wheaton (RB) Out - Knee.

Duke Blue Devils:  N. Dalmolin (TE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Moore (RB) Questionable - Leg. J. Moore (WR) Out - Knee. J. Hasley (TE) Out - Lower Body.

“That’s something you got to check off every year. That’s your hope. If you want to go somewhere, you got to get to that point. ... Our guys do know we’ve just put ourselves in position to play for stuff continually down the stretch. But I don’t think we’re going to sit around and be satisfied with that’s the end result that we want. But it is a big deal.” - Rhett Lashlee after his team’s win against Stanford in their last game. 

“I really feel like they expected to win the game.” - Manny Diaz after his team’s win against FSU in their last game. 

WR Dixon, Moochie 

WR Hudson, Jordan 

WR Bailey, Jake

TE Maryland, RJ

QB Jennings, Kevin

RB Smith, Brashard

WR Pancol, Eli

WR Moore, Jordan 

WR Hagans, Sahmir 

TE Dalmolin, Nicky 

QB Murphy, Maalik 

RB Moore, Jaquez

Passing: K. Jennings (1336)

Rushing: B. Smith (628)

Receiving: R. Maryland (359)

Touchdowns: B. Smith (8)

Passing: M. Murphy (1501)

Rushing: S. Thomas (616)

Receiving: J. Moore (453)

Touchdowns: S. Thomas (5)

Coaches:

SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (3rd season)

Duke Blue Devils: Manny Diaz (1st season)