SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/28/2023

Game Time: 11:00 am ET, Thursday, December 28, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SMU -10, BC +10; Over/Under:  48 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SMU -10, BC +10; Over/Under:  48 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SMU -10, BC +10; Over/Under:  47.5 points

SMU Mustangs:  11-2 (8-0) (1st place, AAC)

Boston College Eagles:  6-6 (3-5) (10th place, ACC)

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SMU Mustangs:  won their last game on the road against the Tulane Green Wave 26-14.

Boston College Eagles:  lost their last game at home against the Miami-Florida Hurricanes 45-20.

SMU is entering this game with an 11-2 record overall and they have a 9-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Tulane 26-14. Kevin Jennings was the starting QB and he completed 19/33 passes for 203 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jaylan Knighton led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. RJ Maryland led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Kobe Wilson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Isaiah Smith led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Isaiah Nwokobia came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Boston College is entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 3-5 record in their conference games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Miami-FL 45-20. Thomas Castellanos was the starting QB and he completed 15/25 passes for 151 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Thomas Castellanos led the team in rushing yards with 130 and 1 TD. Dino Tomlin led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 3 receptions. John Pupel led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have SMU listed as a 10 point favorite in this Fenway Bowl game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU has looked great in their games this season with their 11-2 record overall and they were also 9-0 in their conference games as they went on to beat Tulane on the road in the AAC Championship. They are 2-0 in neutral site games this season too and now with their move to the ACC next season, they will be looking to finish this year strong with a conference championship and a bowl win. Meanwhile, Boston College has looked alright in their games with their 6-6 record overall but they became bowl eligible and haven't looked great in their games lately to end the season. They ended the regular season with a big home loss against Miami-FL and they also have a lot of key players entering the transfer portal too. Boston College had a much improved season this year but they still don't have the talent that SMU has and SMU is going to be motivated to start their move to the ACC with a conference championship in their final year of the AAC and a bowl win to finish it off. The best way to place a bet here is on SMU to cover the spread in this game. 

SMU Boston College Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Thursday, December 28, 2023 (11:00 am ET start time) is SMU 49 BC 20.

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SMU Mustangs: 6-1 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 8-2 ATS off a road win. 6-1 UNDER in a bowl game. 20-9 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest. 5-0 UNDER in games played on a neutral field.

Boston College Eagles: 4-8 ATS in all games. 3-11 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 1-7 ATS off a home loss. 8-0 UNDER off 3 straight losses against conference rivals. 16-8 UNDER off a home loss by 14 or more points. 7-1 UNDER  after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers.

SMU Mustangs:  B. Flowers (DE) Ques Thurs - Knee. J. Jones (DE) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. P. Stone (QB) out for season - Leg.

Boston College Eagles:  J. Blackwell (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. S. Sillah (DE) out for season - Undisclosed. G. Takacs (TE) out for season - Leg. R. O'Keefe (WR) out for season - Neck. P. Garwo III (RB) out for season - Leg.

“Jennings played just like we thought he would. We trusted him fully and I think he made a whole lot more big-time plays, particularly on third downs when he was scrambling, than the mistakes." - Rhett Lashlee after his team’s win against Tulane in their last game which was the AAC Championship.

“It started well. I thought we executed at a high level coming out on that first drive. We had a chance to stop them several times to get them to fourth down. They made more plays than we did. We had opportunities to get off the field and we didn’t.” - Jeff Hafley after his team’s loss against Miami-FL in their last game of the college football regular season.

WR Smith, Key'Shawn 

WR Brinson, Romello 

WR Bailey, Jake 

TE Maryland, RJ 

QB Jennings, Kevin 

RB Knighton, Jaylan  

WR Griffin Jr., Joseph 

WR Bond, Lewis 

WR Tomlin, Dino 

TE Franklin, Jeremiah  

QB Castellanos, Thomas 

RB Robichaux, Kye 

Passing: P. Stone (3204)

Rushing: J. Knighton (720)

Receiving: R. Maryland (518)

Touchdowns: R. Maryland (7)

Passing: T. Castellanos (2168)

Rushing: T. Castellanos (957)

Receiving: L. Bond (611)

Touchdowns: T. Castellanos (11)

Coaches:

SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (2nd season)

Boston College Eagles: Jeff Hafley (4th season)