by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jan 26, 2026
Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Sunday, February 8, 2026
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: NBC, Peacock
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5, Patriots +4.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5, Patriots +4.5; Over/Under: 46 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5, Patriots +4.5; Over/Under: 46 points
Season Record
Seattle Seahawks: 14-3 (1st place, NFC West)
New England Patriots: 14-3 (1st place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Seattle Seahawks: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 31-27.
New England Patriots: won their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 10-7.
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Seahawks are entering this game with a 14-3 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 8-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, and they will be at a neutral site for this Super Bowl game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 31-27. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 25/36 passes for 346 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 62 and 1 TD. Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the receivers with 153 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Ernest Jones IV led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while DeMarcus Lawrence led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 14-3 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-3 in their home games, 8-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, and they will be at a neutral site for this Super Bowl game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 10-7. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 10/21 passes for 86 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 71. Mack Hollins led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Christian Gonzalez led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Christian Gonzalez, Christian Elliss, and Christian Barmore each led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Gonzalez came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked great in their games this season with their 14-3 record overall which had them right at the top of the AFC East. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have also looked great in their games this season with their 14-3 record overall which had them right at the top of the NFC West. The Seahawks were the number 1 seed in the NFC this season and they breezed through the playoffs. They crushed their first opponent with a 41-6 win over the 49ers after getting a bye in the first round, and now they are off a 31-27 win over the Rams in their last one. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL this year and they have a ton of talent on offense too. They have also been rolling in their games lately as they looked like the best team in the NFL to end the regular season too. The Patriots had the same record this season, but they didn't earn the number 1 seed in the AFC due to the Broncos also being 14-3. They took care of business at home in the first 2 rounds with wins over the Chargers and the Texans, and now they are off a road win over the Broncos in their last one. Their offense has looked great this season with Drake Maye taking a big step in his 2nd NFL season, but the defense has done a lot of the heavy lifting in the playoffs. The Patriots haven't really been making any mistakes either and they will be able to stay in this game if they play like that again. The Patriots continue to find ways to win games and their defense won't allow the Seahawks to run away with this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Seahawks Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, February 8, 2026 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Seahawks 23 Patriots 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Seattle Seahawks: 12-5 ATS after playing a division game. 11-3 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 15-8 ATS after playing a game at home. 12-5 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 4-1 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 285 yards/game or less.
New England Patriots: 5-9 ATS in non-conference games. 0-3 ATS against NFC West division opponents. 4-7 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 15-7 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 11-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Seattle Seahawks: C. Kupp (WR) Injured - Rest. D. Lawrence (LB) Injured - Rest. L. Williams (DL) Injured - Rest. U. Nwosu (LB) Injured - Hamstring. S. Darnold (QB) Injured - Oblique. J. Jones (OG) Questionable - Knee. C. Surratt (LB) Out - Ankle. C. Cross (OT) Injured - Foot. J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Injured - Rest. G. Holani (RB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Knight (LB) Injured - Shoulder. A. Kight (OT) Doubtful - Knee. R. Ouzts (FB) Questionable - Neck. E. Arroyo (TE) Injured - Knee.
New England Patriots: M. Hollins (WR) Questionable - Abdomen. G. Bradbury (C) Injured - Illness. T. Jennings (RB) Questionable - Concussion. C. Davis III (CB) Injured - Concussion. R. Spillane (LB) Injured - Hand. C. Elliss (LB) Injured - Hip. M. Mapu (LB) Questionable - Hip. J. Farmer (DL) Questionable - Hamstring. T. Henderson (RB) Injured - Shoulder. H. Henry (TE) Injured - NIR-Rest. M. Moses (OT) Injured - NIR-Rest. H. Landry III (LB) Out - Knee. T. Munford Jr. (OT) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“You can’t talk about the game without talking about our quarterback. He shut a lot of people up tonight, so I’m happy for him.” - Mike Macdonald after his team’s win against the LA Rams in the NFC Championship.
“I won’t win it. It’ll be the players that’ll win the game. I promise you, it won’t be me that’ll win it, and I promise you that I’ll do everything I can, and our staff, to have them ready for the game.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s win against the Broncos in the AFC Championship.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Seahawks
WR Smith-Njigba, Jaxon
WR Shaheed, Rashid
WR Kupp, Cooper
TE Barner, AJ
QB Darnold, Sam
RB Walker III, Kenneth
FB Russell, Brady
New England Patriots
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Hollins, Mack
WR Diggs, Stefon
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
FB Westover, Jack
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Seahawks
Passing: Sam Darnold (4,048)
Rushing: Kenneth Walker III (1,027)
Receiving: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (1,793)
Touchdowns: Zach Charbonnet (12)
New England Patriots
Passing: Drake Maye (4,394)
Rushing: TreVeyon Henderson (911)
Receiving: Stefon Diggs (1,013)
Touchdowns: TreVeyon Henderson (10)
Coaches:
Seattle Seahawks: Mike Macdonald (2nd season)
New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
