Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/07/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 06, 2022
Game Time: 4:07 pm ET, Friday, October 7, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Blue Jays -130; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Blue Jays -140; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  90-72 (2nd place, AL West)
Toronto Blue Jays:  92-70 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
The Mariners enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Detroit Tigers 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 90-72 record overall and have a road record of 44-37. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Friday and it is game 1 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2 out of 3 series. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Marco Gonzales was their starting pitcher on Wednesday in their final game of the regular season while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-6 with a 2.99 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Oakland Athletics.
 
The Blue Jays won 5 of their last 6 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 92-70 record overall and have a home record of 47-34. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Friday and it is game 1 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2/3 series. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .760 OPS. David Phelps was their starting pitcher on Wednesday in their final game of the regular season while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 16-7 with a 2.24 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.

 

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been getting really hot in the final games of their season but the Mariners were also on a bit of a roll lately. Both teams have their ace pitchers in this game, the Mariners going with Luis Castillo while the Jays go with Alek Manoah. Both have been very good this season but Manoah has been slightly better with more wins, the better ERA, and he has been pitching a lot better over the last month than Castillo has been. Castillo has been good this year but he has actually struggled more since joining the Mariners compared to his days on the Reds earlier this season. Manoah always gives the Blue Jays their best chance to win games as he has been a stud since coming into the MLB last season, and his team will come to play for him here giving him plenty of run support. The Blue Jays have a very good lineup and they have one of the best offenses in the MLB this season. They have an advantage with their hitting in this game but they also have the better starter here and have been a way more dominant team at home all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.
 
Mariners Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, October 7, 2022 (4:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 4 Mariners 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 90-72 (+8.1 Units) ML in all games. 44-37 (+8.5 Units) ML in road games. 14-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less.
Toronto Blue Jays: 92-70 (-9.9 Units) ML in all games. 47-34 (-13.8 Units) ML in home games. 60-27 OVER when the total is 7 or less.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  T. Murphy (C) out for season - Shoulder. J. Winker (RF) out for season - Neck. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Groin.
Toronto Blue Jays:  B. Lowe (2B) out for season - Back. K. Kiermaier (CF) out for season - Hip. M. Zunino (C) out for season - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"What else you can say about Julio? He's a generational type player. And fortunately for us, he's going to have a Mariners uniform on for a long, long time." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Tigers on Wednesday.
 
 
"The entire pitching staff, it kind of went according to plan, how we mapped it out. Came out of it healthy. Overall really good day." - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Orioles in game 2 of their double-header on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Mitch Haniger (R) RF
Carlos Santana (S) DH
Luis Torrens (R) 2B
Taylor Trammell (L) LF
Abraham Toro (S) 3B
Curt Casali (R) C
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Otto Lopez (R) 2B
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Teoscar Hernandez (R) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Danny Jansen (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 1B
Gabriel Moreno (R) LF
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Bradley Zimmer (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Drew Ellis (.333)
Hits:  Ty France (152)
Home Runs:  Eugenio Suarez (31)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (87)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (25)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (13)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (20)
ERA:  Ken Giles (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Otto Lopez (.667)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (189)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (32)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (97)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (14)
Wins:  Alek Manoah (16)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (36)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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