Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  16-19 (3rd place, AL West)
Toronto Blue Jays:  18-17 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Mariners are coming into this game with a 16-19 record overall and they are 7-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Chris Flexen is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Logan Gilbert is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits in 5 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 18-17 record overall and they are 10-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Yusei Kikuchi is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while José Berríos is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits in 5.1 innings played against the New York Yankees. They scored 7 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Mariners are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They have been in a little slump recently but they just won their last series against a very good Mets team and will be looking to build on that as they hunt for more wins here on their road trip. They have one of their best pitchers starting in this game in Gilbert and he has been solid all season for them, leading their starters in wins this season. The Mariners have also been hitting the ball well again and they are going up against a Blue Jays team that has been struggling recently and has a big problem with batting while runners are in scoring position. The Blue Jays also have Berrios starting here and he was good to start the season but he has had a few rocky starts now including his last 2 straight where he gave up at least 5 runs in both. The Mariners are hitting well right now and will find ways to score on Berrios with the way he has been pitching. Gilbert will also make it hard on the Blue Jays to score here so this is setting up nicely for a Mariners upset. The best bet in this game is on the Mariners to win here.
 
Mariners Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 17, 2022 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Blue Jays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 133-124 (+38.6 Units) ML in all games. 77-59 (+31.3 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 6-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays: 95-65 (-8.1 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 20-14 UNDER in all games. 9-5 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  T. Murphy (C) Late May - Shoulder. K. Lewis (CF) Late May - Knee. M. Haniger (RF) Mid July - Ankle.
Toronto Blue Jays:  T. Saucedo (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. N. Pearson (SP) Late May - Illness. C. Biggio (2B) Late May - Illness.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Diego's much more comfortable against right-handed hitters." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Mets on Sunday.
 
 
"They've got pitching and they play defense. That's what I've been preaching since last year because that's how you win games." - Charlie Montoyo after his team’s loss against the Rays on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Adam Frazier (Z) 2B
Ty France (D) 1B
J.P. Crawford (Z) SS
Jesse Winker (Z) LF
Julio Rodriguez (D) CF
Mike Ford (Z) DH
Abraham Toro (A) 3B
Steven Souza Jr. (D) RF
Cal Raleigh (A) C
 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (D) DH
Vladimir Guerrero (D) 1B
Teoscar Hernandez (D) RF
Bo Bichette (D) SS
Santiago Espinal (D) 2B
Matt Chapman (D) 3B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (D) LF
Alejandro Kirk (D) C
Raimel Tapia (Z) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Ty France (.331)
Hits:  Ty France (46)
Home Runs:  Eugenio Suarez (6)
RBI:  Ty France (25)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (10)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (4)
Saves:  Drew Steckenrider (2)
ERA:  Justus Sheffield (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Danny Jansen (.500)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (35)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (7)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (20)
Stolen Bases:  Santiago Espinal (3)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (4)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (12)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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