Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Apr 27, 2022
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, April 28, 2022
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +100, Rays -120; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +100, Rays -120; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +100, Rays -120; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  11-6 (1st place, AL West)
Tampa Bay Rays:  9-8 (3rd place, AL East) 
 
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Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  8-2 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Mariners are coming into this game with a 11-6 record overall and they are 4-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals completing the series sweep 3-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rays on Thursday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Marco Gonzales is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Chris Flexen will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 1-2 with a 3.63 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 7 IP against the Kansas City Royals. They scored 22 runs in their last series averaging just over 7 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

The Rays are coming into this game with a 9-8 record overall and they are 6-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Thursday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Drew Rasmussen is the starter for them on Wednesday while Corey Kluber will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Thursday. He is 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA this season. His team has lost their last 2 games this season with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 11 hits through 5 innings played against the Boston Red Sox. They scored 11 runs in their last series averaging just under 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mariners vs Rays Prediction

The Rays are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. The Rays have been very inconsistent to start the season as they cannot put any streaks together whether it be wins or losses. Their pitching was struggling for a little at the beginning of the season but they have been pitching much better in their recent games and they have a better matchup here with Flexen starting on the mound for the Mariners. Flexen has had a few bad starts already and he will likely struggle in this game against the Rays who have still been hitting the ball well in their games. Kluber is starting for the Rays and he did not have a great start in his last game but he is still a good and reliable pitcher who is more likely to bounce back in this game after that last start. The Rays are in a tough division and they need to start winning more games so they do not fall behind, and this is the perfect spot for a win for the,. The best bet here is on the Rays to win this game.
 
Mariners Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, April 28, 2022 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 5 Mariners 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 88-86 (+40.4 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 128-111 (+45.6 Units) ML in all games. CHRIS FLEXEN is 11-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
Tampa Bay Rays: 20-26 (-16.2 Units) ML against AL West opponents. 10-6 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 25-19 UNDER against AL West opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  M. Haniger (RF) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Giles (RP) Early May - Finger injury. C. Sadler (RP) out for season - Shoulder injury.
Tampa Bay Rays:  Y. Chirinos (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. T. Glasnow (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. R. Yarbrough (SP) Early May - Groin injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"When things like that happen, you try to capitalize on it, and we've done a pretty good job of that so far. I think that says a lot about where we are, especially early in the season." - Logan Gilbert after their win against the Rays on Tuesday.
 
 
"It was not characteristic of us. We came out and made a couple miscues, but that's part of the game. Physical stuff happens. ... Just some unlucky bounces after a couple plays that didn't work out for us, and the game can get out of hand pretty quickly sometimes." - Mike Zunino after their loss against the Mariners on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Ty France (R) 1B
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Abraham Toro (S) DH
Tom Murphy (R) C
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Dylan Moore (R) RF
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Wander Franco (S) SS
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Manuel Margot (R) RF
Taylor Walls (S) 3B
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
Rene Pinto (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.435)
Hits:  Ty France (25)
Home Runs:  Ty France (5)
RBI:  Ty France (21)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (6)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (3)
Saves:  Diego Castillo (1)
ERA:  Erik Swanson (0.00)
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Rene Pinto (.667)
Hits:  Wander Franco (23)
Home Runs:  Wander Franco (4)
RBI:  Wander Franco (12)
Stolen Bases:  Taylor Walls (3)
Wins:  Josh Fleming (2)
Saves:  Andrew Kittredge (2)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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