Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 9, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -148, Padres +124; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -150, Padres +125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -150, Padres +125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  49-43 (1st place, AL West)

San Diego Padres:  49-45 (2nd place, NL West)

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Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10

San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-43 record overall and have a road record of 19-25. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Padres on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .660 OPS. George Kirby was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 2.91 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5.1 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-45 record overall and have a home record of 25-24. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Dylan Cease was their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 7.52 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 49-43 record overall which has them leading the AL West. They haven't looked great in their road games though, going 19-25 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 49-45 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and finally fighting for a Wild Card spot after being under .500 for most of the season. They are also 25-24 in their home games. The Padres are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they have been cooling off lately as they just lost a series to the Diamondbacks over the weekend. They aren't going to get much help on the mound either, going with their rookie Mazur in this one. Mazur has only had a few starts in his rookie season so far, but he hasn't looked good with his 1-2 record and his 7.52 ERA. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. The Mariners are going to have a solid starter on the mound with Gilbert as he is 5-5 with a 2.91 ERA. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been the case in a majority of his starts this season so he will be looking to bounce back in this one. He hasn't really been giving up many runs in his starts all year, and the team has still won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 9, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Padres 3.

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Seattle Mariners: 16-26 (-18.95 units) on the runline in their last 42 away games. 8-21 (-12.35 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 29 away games. 18-10 to the over in their last 28 away games. 

San Diego Padres: 12-5 (+6.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 17 games. 34-28 (+6.95 units) on the runline in their last 62 games. 30-18 to the over in their last 48 home games.

Seattle Mariners:  L. Raley (LF) - Shoulder B. Woo (SP) - Hamstring. G. Speier (RP) - Rotator Cuff. S. Haggerty (LF) - Achilles. M. Brash (RP) - Elbow. G. Santos (RP) - Lat. J. Kowar (RP) - Elbow.

San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (RF) - Quad. L. Campusano (C) - Thumb. J. Musgrove (SP) - Elbow. Y. Darvish (SP) - Groin. X. Bogaerts (2B) - Shoulder. L. Patino (SP) - Elbow. G. Otto (RP) - Shoulder.

“That's frustrating. It's really hard to win consistently or put consistent offense together when you're not putting the ball in play enough." - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Saturday.

“It can get worse and we don’t want that. I was playing through it and I probably could have kept going but the doctors recommended to heal it now so that way it doesn’t get worse. It’s just better that way.” - Fernando Tatis Jr on his injury.

J Crawford (L) SS

M Garver (R) DH

C Raleigh (S) C

L Raley (L) LF

T France (R) 1B

J Rojas (L) 3B

J Polanco (S) 2B

D Canzone (L) RF

V Robles (R) CF

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

D Solano (R) 3B

J Merrill (L) CF

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

L Campusano (R) C

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (87)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (15)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (51)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (18)

Wins:  George Kirby (7)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (14)

ERA:  Andrés Muñoz (1.50)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (100)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (59)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)