by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 06, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 7, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: SDPA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +100, Padres -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +100, Padres -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +100, Padres -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 29-30 (4th place, AL West)
San Diego Padres: 28-32 (4th place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Mariners are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-30 record overall and have a road record of 12-15. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while George Kirby is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-4 with a 3.04 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 8 IP against the New York Yankees.
The Padres are entering this game off of a win in their last game but split their 4-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-32 record overall and have a home record of 14-17. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .696 OPS. Joe Musgrove is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Michael Wacha is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-2 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 5 BB with 8 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.
Mariners vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't been good this season with their record being under .500 but the Mariners haven't been any better with a losing record too. Both teams were expected to be a lot better this season with those strong batting lineups but so far both offenses have been really bad this season. The Padres are starting to get hot now though as they have been playing better in their last few games and they will be looking to get on a big run as they are playing in a really tough division. They will be able to take advantage of this pitching matchup with Kirby starting for the Mariners as he has been good but he is still inexperienced in his 2nd MLB season and the Padres do have a very strong batting lineup that is starting to put up more runs in their games lately. The Padres will be a very dangerous team if their offense starts to wake up and Wacha has also been a really underrated starter over the last 2 seasons as he leads the Padres rotation in wins this season and is also coming off a season where he was just as good if not better. Wacha will have a good outing against this Mariners offense that hasn't been doing much in their games lately and the Padres offense should get a spark in this game too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
Mariners Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 7, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Mariners 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 95-70 (+30.3 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 49-40 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. GEORGE KIRBY is 11-5 OVER in road games and 10-4 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.
San Diego Padres: 12-17 (-14 units) on the moneyline in home games. 9-18 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 16-7 OVER against AL West opponents. MICHAEL WACHA is 25-17 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: J. Crawford (SS) Ques Tues - Knee. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. Moore (RF) Mid June - Oblique. A. Munoz (RP) Prob Tues - Shoulder. P. Murfee (SP) Mid June - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm.
San Diego Padres: T. Grisham (CF) Ques Tues - Back. X. Bogaerts (SS) Ques Tues - Wrist. N. Cruz (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. A. Morejon (SP) Mid June - Elbow. N. Crismatt (RP) Mid June - Hip. S. Lugo (RP) Mid June - Calf. L. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We’re not playing winning baseball against top-flight teams. It’s one of the best offenses we’ve seen all year. Ton of credit there. And on the flip side, we didn’t pitch our best, or play our best, in this series.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
“He's been unbelievable, offensively, behind the plate. The running game's kind of been shut down some with his arm strength, he's caught guys he's never caught before and done a great job with them. Quick learning curve with him. He's fit right in from the day he got here. This one hopefully is a really great pickup for us and has been so far.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Cubs in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
Jarred Kelenic (L) LF
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Mike Ford (L) DH
Jose Caballero (R) SS
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
San Diego Padres
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) CF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Brandon Dixon (R) RF
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Jarred Kelenic (.270)
Hits: Ty France (61)
Home Runs: Jarred Kelenic (10)
RBI: Eugenio Suarez (35)
Stolen Bases: Julio Rodriguez (12)
Wins: George Kirby (5)
Saves: Paul Sewald (11)
ERA: Easton McGee (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Alfonso Rivas (.333)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (54)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (11)
RBI: Juan Soto (27)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (11)
Wins: Michael Wacha (5)
Saves: Josh Hader (13)
ERA: Tom Cosgrove (0.00)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
