Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/13/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Aug 12, 2026
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Thursday, August 13, 2026
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY 
Where to Watch:  ESPN Unlimited, MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +129, Yankees -156; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +125, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  56-64 (3rd place, AL West)
New York Yankees:  67-52 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-64 record overall and have a road record of 23-35. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Mariners lost the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 29th in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 8-7 with a 3.42 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 4 BB with 6 SO on 4 hits through 6.2 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-52 record overall and have a home record of 30-26. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Will Warren is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6.1 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves.


Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 67-52 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 30-26 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners haven't looked good in their games this season with their 56-64 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They have been a terrible road team too with their 23-35 road record this year. The Mariners have looked terrible lately, now 3-7 in their last 10 games and they have one of the worst offenses in MLB. The Yankees have a much stronger offense this season and they have been getting hot lately, now 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Yankees are going with Fried in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA and he has been getting better in every start since coming back from an injury. He is coming off another great start giving up no runs which has been a common theme for him this year and the team has been having a lot of success with him too, winning 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. The Mariners are going with Gilbert in this one and he has looked good this season too. He is 8-7 with a 3.42 ERA and he has been a bright spot for the Mariners lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but the bullpen has been letting them down in some recent games. The Yankees are going to take advantage of this pitching matchup at home with the much stronger offense to lean on here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Mariners Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 13, 2026 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 3 Mariners 0.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 35-58 (-28.1 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 237-220 (-23.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 101-125 (-34.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 20-13 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

New York Yankees: 154-95 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 120-73 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. 38-22 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  G. Speier (RP) Day To Day - Back. J. Naylor (1B) Day To Day - Wrist. C. Wilcox (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. L. Raley (RF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. J. Crawford (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.

New York Yankees:  K. Castro (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Bellinger (LF) Ten Day IL - Leg. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“A tough one again tonight. As we have talked about it before, we need to find that consistency on offense.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.


“Been a struggle -- several weeks now where it’s been difficult for us scoring runs, an area we’ve got to be better, and we know that. The good thing is that we’ve had to play in a lot of really close games day in and day out, and [we’ve] done a good job against a lot of good teams winning those games.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Tuesday. 


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
Taylor Ward (R) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Julio Rodríguez (R) CF
Dominic Canzone (L) DH
Cole Young (L) 2B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Brendan Donovan (L) 3B
Weston Wilson (R) 1B
Colt Emerson (L) SS

New York Yankees
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Ben Rice (L) DH
Heliot Ramos (R) LF
Luis García Jr. (L) 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
George Lombard Jr. (R) SS
Spencer Jones (L) RF
Ryan McMahon (L) 3B
Austin Wells (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Randy Arozarena (.276)
Hits:  Cole Young (115)
Home Runs:  Dominic Canzone (18)
RBI:  Cole Young (52)
Stolen Bases:  Josh Naylor (23)
Wins:  George Kirby (8)
Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (20)
ERA:  Matt Brash (0.54)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  George Lombard (.286)
Hits:  Ben Rice (108)
Home Runs:  Ben Rice (32)
RBI:  Ben Rice (75)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (31)
Wins:  Cam Schlittler (10)
Saves:  David Bednar (27)
ERA:  Yerry De los Santos (1.00)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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