Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/11/2026

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV, TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +113, Yankees -136; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Yankees -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Yankees -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Seattle Mariners:  56-63 (3rd place, AL West)

New York Yankees:  66-52 (2nd place, AL East)

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Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-63 record overall and have a road record of 23-34. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Emerson Hancock was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-8 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 SO on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 66-52 record overall and have a home record of 29-26. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Cam Schlittler was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Ryan Weathers is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-7 with a 3.79 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 66-52 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 29-26 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners haven't looked good in their games this season with their 56-63 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They have been a terrible road team too with their 23-34 road record this year. The Mariners have had every chance to take over this weak division this season, but lately they have looked terrible. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games with one of the worst offenses in the league and continue to slide down the standings. The Yankees are only 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have been a steady team in the AL all season and will have some momentum from a series win over the Braves. The Yankees are going with Weathers in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 5-7 with a 3.79 ERA and he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He is coming off another great start giving up no runs which has been becoming a common theme for him lately. The team has also had more success with him, winning 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The Mariners are going with Woo in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 8-8 with a 4.31 ERA and the Mariners haven't had much success with him lately. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and even though he gave up no runs in his last start, that hasn't been a common theme for him. Look for the Yankees to take advantage of this pitching matchup as the Mariners continue to slide down the standings with no offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Mariners Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Mariners 1.

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Seattle Mariners: 35-57 (-27.1 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 237-219 (-22.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 101-124 (-33.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 14-9 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better.

New York Yankees: 153-95 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 119-73 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. 15-5 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline when playing with a day off. 37-22 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.

Seattle Mariners:  C. Sulser (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. L. Raley (RF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. J. Crawford (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.

New York Yankees:  C. Bellinger (LF) Ten Day IL - Leg. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We had him on the ropes early, and we weren’t able to convert it. At that point, he was able to settle in. He had a pretty good changeup today, kept us off-guard going back-and-forth with that. Not able to square anything up, not able to find barrels consistently. When we did find some barrels, it seemed like there was a guy standing there. It’s frustrating.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Sunday. 

“We’ve got to do more and put some runs on. But unlike some of the other games where we’ve been shut down, I do feel like we were getting some good swings off them. We had better at-bats as a club, but we’ve still got to find a way to push them across.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday. 

Taylor Ward (R) RF

Cole Young (L) 2B

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Dominic Canzone (L) DH

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Weston Wilson (R) 3B

Colt Emerson (L) SS

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) DH

Heliot Ramos (R) LF

Luis García Jr. (L) 1B

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Spencer Jones (L) RF

George Lombard Jr. (R) SS

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

Batting Average:  Randy Arozarena (.276)

Hits:  Cole Young (115)

Home Runs:  Dominic Canzone (18)

RBI:  Cole Young (52)

Stolen Bases:  Josh Naylor (23)

Wins:  George Kirby (8)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (20)

ERA:  Matt Brash (0.54)

Batting Average:  George Lombard (.294)

Hits:  Ben Rice (108)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (32)

RBI:  Ben Rice (75)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (30)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (26)

ERA:  Yerry De los Santos (1.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)