Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2025

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, July 10, 2025

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  MLBN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Yankees +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Yankees +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Yankees +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

Seattle Mariners:  48-43 (2nd place, AL West)

New York Yankees:  50-41 (2nd place, AL East)

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Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-43 record overall and have a road record of 23-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Mariners lost the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Rookie pitcher Logan Evans is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 8-4 with a 2.77 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 SO on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-41 record overall and have a home record of 27-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .792 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cam Schlittler is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-1 with a 7.45 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings pitched against the New York Mets.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 48-43 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL West. They have also been a good road team with their 23-22 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 50-41 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 27-17 home record. The Yankees haven't looked great lately though as they are only 3-7 in their last 10 games while the Mariners are 6-4 and have the better pitching matchup to take advantage of here. The Mariners are going with Woo in this one and he has been a solid starter for them this season. He is 8-4 with a 2.77 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately at all. He is coming off another great start in which he didn't give up any runs and the team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. The Yankees are going with Stroman in this one and he has only had a few starts this year, but he hasn't looked great in them. He is 1-1 with a 7.45 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs lately. He only gave up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that was one of his better starts this year and the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Yankees may have the better offense in this game, but the Mariners have a good offense too and they can take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mariners Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 10, 2025 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Yankees 2.

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Seattle Mariners: 32-50 (-23.1 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 221-194 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 102-105 (-10.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 37-24 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season.

New York Yankees: 54-31 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 115-72 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 123-104 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 27-15 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Miller (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Snider (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. G. Santos (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. V. Robles (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Bliss (2B) Sixty Day IL - Biceps.

New York Yankees:  M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. C. Schmidt (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. Y. De Los Santos (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Hopefully, we take that into tomorrow’s ballgame. Julio hit that ball hard in the gap, and then Cal with No. 36. Congratulations to Cal. Another record for him to set the pace for the Mariners. A couple of positives toward the end and [hopefully] take that into tomorrow." - Dan Wilson after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday. 

“I thought Peraza made a couple of really good [plays] over there. I thought Jazz looked good. The infield defense was really good.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Tuesday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Jorge Polanco (S) DH

Luke Raley (L) 1B

Dominic Canzone (L) RF

Ben Williamson (R) 3B

Cole Young (L) 2B

Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Aaron Judge (R) RF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Cody Bellinger (L) LF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B

Austin Wells (L) C

Oswald Peraza (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Dominic Canzone (.286)

Hits:  J.P. Crawford (93)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (36)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (76)

Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (15)

Wins:  Bryan Woo (8)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (21)

ERA:  Sauryn Lao (0.00)

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.360)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (121)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (34)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (75)

Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (14)

Wins:  Max Fried (11)

Saves:  Devin Williams (12)

ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (2nd season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)