Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: ROOT Sports NW, YES
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +105, Yankees -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +105, Yankees -125; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +101, Yankees -123; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 48-42 (2nd place, AL West)
New York Yankees: 49-41 (2nd place, AL East)
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Seattle Mariners: 7-3 last 10
New York Yankees: 3-7 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Mariners are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-42 record overall and have a road record of 23-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. George Kirby was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-2 with a 3.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 7 SO on 3 hits through 4.2 IP against the Kansas City Royals.
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-41 record overall and have a home record of 26-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .790 OPS. Max Fried was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 5.02 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 walks with 4 strikeouts on 10 hits through 4 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 48-42 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL West. They have also been a good road team with their 23-21 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 49-41 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 26-17 home record. The Yankees were leading the AL East for most of the season though, and now they have let the Blue Jays pass them in the standings since they have not looked good lately. The Yankees are only 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been struggling a lot lately while the Mariners are 7-3 and have been red hot. The Mariners are also going with Gilbert in this game and he has looked good in his starts this season. He is 2-2 with a 3.40 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him lately, and even the team has won 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Yankees are going with Warren in this one but he hasn't been their best option this year. He is 5-4 with a 5.02 ERA and he has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts. His team has won 2 of the last 3 games he started in, but he did give up 8 earned runs in his last start and the Mariners offense has been really hot lately. The Mariners have the better offense right now and the momentum on their side here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
Mariners Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 8, 2025 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Yankees 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 32-49 (-22.1 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 221-193 (-13.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 102-104 (-9.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 36-24 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season.
New York Yankees: 53-31 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 114-72 (+7.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 63-47 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 26-15 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: B. Miller (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Snider (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. G. Santos (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. V. Robles (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Bliss (2B) Sixty Day IL - Biceps.
New York Yankees: J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) Day To Day - Shoulder. C. Schmidt (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. Y. De Los Santos (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Our guys just executed pitches. That’s what they did, to a man.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.
“It was definitely a tough play; those ones are low and kind of hard to read. But in that moment, I felt like I could go get it. It was going to be a close play. I had a good beat on it, a good jump. I was just glad I was able to get it before it hit the ground.” - Cody Bellinger after their win against the Mets in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodríguez (R) CF
Cal Raleigh (S) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Luke Raley (L) 1B
Mitch Garver (R) C
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Miles Mastrobuoni (L) 3B
New York Yankees
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Austin Wells (L) C
Oswald Peraza (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Dominic Canzone (.293)
Hits: J.P. Crawford (91)
Home Runs: Cal Raleigh (35)
RBI: Cal Raleigh (74)
Stolen Bases: Randy Arozarena (15)
Wins: Bryan Woo (8)
Saves: Andrés Muñoz (21)
ERA: Sauryn Lao (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.360)
Hits: Aaron Judge (119)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (33)
RBI: Aaron Judge (74)
Stolen Bases: Jasson Domínguez (14)
Wins: Max Fried (11)
Saves: Devin Williams (12)
ERA: Adam Ottavino (0.00)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (2nd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)