Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/21/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 21, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 21, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -185, Yankees +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -185, Yankees +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -185, Yankees +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  35-35 (4th place, AL West)
New York Yankees:  39-33 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10
New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-35 record overall and have a road record of 14-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .692 OPS. George Kirby is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-5 with a 2.73 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 6 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 5.2 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Yankees are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-33 record overall and have a home record of 21-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Jhony Brito is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-3 with a 5.58 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.


Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees haven't been good lately with a lot of losses under their belt over the last few days but they are going to be looking to get back on track at home here after getting swept in a series by their division rival Red Sox. The Yankees need a bounce back win to give them some momentum and no better place than at home where they have been a better team all year. The Mariners are going to have Castillo starting in this game and he has been a lot better in his starts lately but he still gave up 2 runs in his last start and the Yankees have had a better offense than the Mariners have had all season. The Mariners have one of the worst offenses in the league so even if Castillo pitches a great game here, the Mariners are going to struggle with that offense and the Yankees also have one of the best bullpens in the MLB too. The Yankees are not going to give up a lot of runs in this game and they will find ways to put the runs up on Castillo and the bullpen after him. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Mariners Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 21, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Mariners 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 11-15 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 23-27 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. LUIS CASTILLO is 25-18 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher and 6-3 UNDER against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees: 17-14 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 33-28 (+3.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 19-10 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 23-15 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Gonzales (SP) Late June - Forearm. T. Gott (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

New York Yankees:  N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. C. Rodon (SP) Early July - Elbow. H. Bader (CF) Prob Tues - Hamstring. A. Judge (RF) Mid July - Toe. I. Hamilton (RP) Late June - Groin. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Julio is a fantastic player and he’s just scratching the surface. He’s got a chance to be just a dynamic superstar in our game. And you know, when you’re in games like today, when we’re coming off a tough loss last night, you kind of need your best players to step up and get a big hit. He got one and Jarred got one. It was good for those young guys.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


“That's the story line. We're going to get beat over the head with that. The reality is: That team we're rolling out there is capable of doing damage offensively and even more capable, obviously, when Judge, you take the best player in the world out, that, to me, is just an excuse right now.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Jarred Kelenic (L) LF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Mike Ford (L) DH
Kolten Wong (L) 2B

New York Yankees
Jake Bauers (L) LF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) CF
Billy McKinney (L) RF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Ty France (.278)
Hits:  Ty France (75)
Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (12)
RBI:  Teoscar Hernandez (39)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (15)
Wins:  George Kirby (6)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (13)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits:  Gleyber Torres (67)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (7)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (8)
ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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