Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2023

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Twins -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Twins -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Twins -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  50-50 (4th place, AL West)

Minnesota Twins:  54-48 (1st place, AL Central)

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Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  8-2 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-50 record overall and have a road record of 21-25. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .702 OPS. George Kirby is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-3 with a 3.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 5.1 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-48 record overall and have a home record of 30-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .723 OPS. Pablo López is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-6 with a 3.88 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 10 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have been getting really hot in their games lately as they already have the lead of the AL Central but are looking to pull away with it now. The Mariners have also been playing a lot better in their games lately but they have been struggling as a team all season and have even been up and down in their games lately. Their offense has also struggled all season while the Twins offense has been getting a lot better in their games lately and they will be able to take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The Twins are going with Ryan on the mound here and he has been really good in his starts all season. He hasn't been great lately and just gave up 4 runs in his last start but he has also been really reliable and will be looking to bounce back with a better performance at home here. The Mariners haven't had a great offense either so he will have no trouble trying to shut down their lineup here. The Mariners are going with Miller in this game and he hasn't been bad this season but he is also in his rookie season and has been starting to give up more runs in his starts lately. The Twins have been a really strong home team all season and their offense has been getting hot now, they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here and will do enough to edge the Mariners out in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Mariners Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Mariners 2.

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Seattle Mariners: 50-50 (-13.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-41 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 31-19 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. 

Minnesota Twins: 26-15 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 11-6 (+6 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 13-6 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5. JOE RYAN is 11-4 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. A. Pollock (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Gonzales (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Minnesota Twins:  B. Buxton (DH) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Early Aug - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Early Aug - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Lewis (SS) Mid Aug - Oblique. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“Heck of an effort to come back late like that in the game. Tough way to start the road trip, but the fight in our guys. Obviously, a huge hit by Kolten, which has not been an easy year for him. To step up in that spot and come through like that was awesome to see, but disappointing to lose the ballgame.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Monday.

“He’s pitching like a young stud right now.” - Rocco Baldelli on Kenta Maeda after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Monday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Mike Ford (L) DH

Ty France (R) 1B

Tom Murphy (R) C

Dylan Moore (R) 2B

Cade Marlowe (L) LF

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Matt Wallner (L) DH

Willi Castro (S) 3B

Trevor Larnach (L) LF

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Joey Gallo (L) CF

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.277)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (98)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (16)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (58)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (23)

Wins:  George Kirby (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.326)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (81)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (17)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (45)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (23)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (17)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)