Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2023

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

Seattle Mariners:  50-49 (4th place, AL West)

Minnesota Twins:  53-48 (1st place, AL Central)

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Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  8-2 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-49 record overall and have a road record of 21-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .702 OPS. Luis Castillo is their starting pitcher on Monday while George Kirby is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-8 with a 3.23 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-48 record overall and have a home record of 29-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Kenta Maeda is their starting pitcher on Monday while Pablo López is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-6 with a 4.22 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't been great this season but they have slowly been clawing themselves back over .500 and now that they have been playing a lot better lately, they will be looking to go on a big run now and try to get themselves into a playoff position. The Twins haven't been that great this season either as they are only 5 games over .500 but they do have the lead of the AL Central and have been playing a lot better in their games lately too. Neither offense has been great this season either so the pitching matchup is going to be important here and the Mariners have the edge in that department with Kirby on the mound. Kirby has been pitching really well all season as he has been one of their best starters and he also shut down the Twins in his last start just last week. The Twins are going with Lopez in this game and he has also been good in his starts lately but he did give up some runs against the Mariners in his start last week and he has also been giving up a lot more runs in his starts all season as he was not great to start the year. The Mariners have been getting hot on offense lately and with the way Kirby has been pitching lately, they will be able to edge out the Twins for a win in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 25, 2023 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Twins 0.

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Seattle Mariners: 50-49 (-12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-40 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 31-19 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. GEORGE KIRBY is 7-2 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. 

Minnesota Twins: 25-15 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 10-6 (+5 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 13-6 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5. PABLO LOPEZ is 11-5 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. A. Pollock (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Gonzales (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Minnesota Twins:  J. Alcala (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Early Aug - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Early Aug - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Lewis (SS) Mid Aug - Oblique. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“That was a heck of a series. Every game right down to the final pitch. Our guys really competed their tails off. You’re hoping (for) a little bit more magic there at the end. It just didn’t happen today.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

“We’re going to use our guys to try to win a ballgame. That’s what they’re there for.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Ty France (R) 1B

Mike Ford (L) DH

Taylor Trammell (L) LF

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Donovan Solano (R) 3B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Matt Wallner (L) LF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.269)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (97)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (16)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (58)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (23)

Wins:  George Kirby (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.326)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (80)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (17)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (44)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (23)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (17)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)