Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2023

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Monday, July 24, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Twins +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Twins +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Twins +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  50-48 (3rd place, AL West)

Minnesota Twins:  52-48 (1st place, AL Central)

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Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10

The Mariners entered their last series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-2. They enter this game with a 50-48 record overall and have a road record of 21-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Twins on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Sunday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 6-7 with a 3.04 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 11 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Twins entered their last series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-2. They enter this game with a 52-48 record overall and have a home record of 28-22. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Chicago White Sox still to be played on Sunday. They also won the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Kenta Maeda is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 2-5 with a 5.10 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 9 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't been great this season but they have finally pulled themselves over .500 and have been playing a lot better lately. They are winning more games now and their offense is finally waking up as they have also been putting up more runs in their games. The Twins have also been playing well lately as they are taking control of the AL Central once again but their offense hasn't been great this year and they will struggle to compete with the Mariners starting to get hot now. The Mariners also have a much better pitching matchup here with their ace Castillo on the mound. He hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all season and has continued to pitch well lately too. He will shut down this Twins lineup that hasn't been great and the Mariners offense will be able to put up runs on Maeda who is starting for the Twins. Maeda hasn't been good this season and has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately. He is going to give up runs against this Mariners offense that has been hitting much better and that will be the downfall for the Twins in this game as Castillo shuts the Twins down deep into this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 24, 2023 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Twins 1.

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Seattle Mariners: 50-48 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-40 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 31-21 OVER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 

Minnesota Twins: 29-19 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-6 (+5 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. KENTA MAEDA is 10-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher and 13-4 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. A. Pollock (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Gonzales (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Minnesota Twins:  J. Gallo (1B) Ques Sun - Illness. W. Castro (LF) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Alcala (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Early Aug - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Early Aug - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Lewis (SS) Mid Aug - Oblique. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“What a game. Man, can you imagine if you had tickets to Taylor Swift and you watched that game? What a day.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Saturday.

“He did a great job in that situation. And then even Duran at the end of the game, gives up two infield hits and still finds a way to do it. So the perseverance of our pitchers today I think was something I’ll remember from this game.” - Rocco Baldelli on Griffin Jax after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Saturday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Ty France (R) 1B

Mike Ford (L) DH

Taylor Trammell (L) LF

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Donovan Solano (R) 3B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Matt Wallner (L) LF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.274)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (95)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (16)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (58)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (22)

Wins:  George Kirby (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.326)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (80)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (17)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (43)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (22)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (17)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)