Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 26, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: MLBN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +101, Twins -123; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +100, Twins -120; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +100, Twins -120; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 41-37 (2nd place, AL West)
Minnesota Twins: 37-42 (4th place, AL Central)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Brian Bitler is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on an 11-4 MLB RUN for +$7,680 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Seattle Mariners: 7-3 last 10
Minnesota Twins: 1-9 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis
The Mariners are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-37 record overall and have a road record of 21-18. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Twins on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Mariners won the series opener on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. George Kirby is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Emerson Hancock is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-3 with a 5.43 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 9 ER, 4 HR, and 3 BB with 5 SO on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Chicago Cubs.
The Twins are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-42 record overall and have a home record of 20-17. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Twins lost the 1st game of this series on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Joe Ryan is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Simeon Woods Richardson is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mariners vs Twins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 41-37 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL West. They have been a good road team too with their 21-18 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Twins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 37-42 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL Central. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 20-17 home record this season. Both of these teams are going with starters who have been terrible this season, but that gives the edge to this Mariners team with the much better offense. The Mariners have also been red hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Twins are 1-9. Hancock is on the mound for the Mariners in this one and he hasn't looked good this year. He is 3-3 with a 5.43 ERA and is coming off another terrible start in his last one. He gave up 9 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him this year and the team has lost 4 of their last 5 games with him starting too. Woods Richardson is on the mound for the Twins in this one and he hasn't looked any better this season. He is 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA and is also coming off a bad start. He wasn't terrible as he only gave up 3 earned runs, but that has been a common theme for him lately and the team has also lost 3 games in a row with him starting. Neither starter has been great this season so the Mariners have a big advantage here since they have been the hotter team lately and they have the offense to bail themselves out of trouble. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
Mariners Twins Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 26, 2025 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 9 Twins 6.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Seattle Mariners Minnesota Twins prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 93-85 (+7.3 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 137-103 (+10 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 87-57 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. 45-29 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
Minnesota Twins: 208-200 (-38.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 112-91 (-17.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 158-118 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 53-33 OVER against AL West opponents.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: B. Miller (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Snider (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. G. Santos (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. V. Robles (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Bliss (2B) Sixty Day IL - Biceps.
Minnesota Twins: W. Castro (2B) Day To Day - Wrist. R. Lewis (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. P. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. Z. Matthews (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. L. Keaschall (2B) Sixty Day IL - Forearm.
Notable Quotes
“We just have been executing our plans and playing to our identity. We're able to create runs in so many different ways, and I feel like we're doing that right now. And I feel like that's why we've been winning.” - Julio Rodriguez after their win against the Twins in their game on Tuesday.
“We have to limit those things. I'm talking about limiting damage and that's kind of what I'm going on about, but there's a lot of different ways to do that. Pitchers can do it, our defense can do it and help out. But limiting the other team, teams are going to score, but you've got to limit them and limit those big innings. That's something we've struggled with and know we have to turn around.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodríguez (R) CF
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Randy Arozarena (R) DH
Luke Raley (L) LF
Donovan Solano (R) 1B
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Ben Williamson (R) 3B
Cole Young (L) 2B
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Trevor Larnach (L) DH
Brooks Lee (S) 3B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Matt Wallner (L) RF
Ty France (R) 1B
Kody Clemens (L) 2B
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Harrison Bader (R) LF
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: J.P. Crawford (.284)
Hits: Cal Raleigh (81)
Home Runs: Cal Raleigh (32)
RBI: Cal Raleigh (69)
Stolen Bases: Randy Arozarena (14)
Wins: Bryan Woo (7)
Saves: Andrés Muñoz (18)
ERA: Matt Brash (0.00)
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average: Luke Keaschall (.368)
Hits: Ty France (74)
Home Runs: Byron Buxton (17)
RBI: Byron Buxton (47)
Stolen Bases: Byron Buxton (13)
Wins: Joe Ryan (7)
Saves: Jhoan Duran (10)
ERA: Danny Coulombe (0.87)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (2nd season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (7th season)