by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 28, 2026
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +157, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +155, Dodgers -195; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +155, Dodgers -190; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 52-54 (2nd place, AL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 67-39 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-54 record overall and have a road record of 22-31. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .688 OPS. George Kirby was their starting pitcher on Monday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-9 with a 4.85 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 3 SO on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-39 record overall and have a home record of 31-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Emmet Sheehan was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Eric Lauer is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 4.83 ERA this season. His team won their last 8 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 walk with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 67-39 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners haven't looked great in their games this season with their 52-54 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They have been a terrible road team though with their 22-31 road record this year. The Mariners are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they haven't looked great lately with their offense fading away. The Dodgers have looked good though, now 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they have one of the best offenses in the league to put up runs with. They are also going to have the better pitching matchup in this one and have looked great at home all season while the Mariners have had a lot of road troubles. The Mariners are going with Castillo in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 3-9 with a 4.85 ERA and he has been having a terrible year. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him all season and even the team has been having trouble with him lately, losing 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Dodgers are going with Lauer in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 5-5 with a 4.83 ERA, but lately he has looked a lot better and the Dodgers have been having a ton of success with him. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he has looked a lot better since getting traded from the Blue Jays and the Dodgers have now won 8 games in a row with him starting. The Dodgers not only have the better starter here, but they also have the much stronger offense that can take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Mariners Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 28, 2026 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Mariners 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 69-57 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 103-96 (+2.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 19-18 (+2.5 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. 13-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 27-22 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 282-181 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 147-82 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 28-20 OVER against AL West opponents.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: R. Refsnyder (DH) Ten Day IL - Knee. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Donovan (3B) Ten Day IL - Groin. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.
Los Angeles Dodgers: W. Smith (C) Sixty Day IL - Neck. B. Treinen (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Diaz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“A lot of relief. I mean, that's what we needed right there. And especially in that situation in the game that late, that was a pretty dramatic way to do it.” - Logan Gilbert after their win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
“[The bullpen] has to start getting ahead in the count. The walks are just way too high. The bullpen usage has been minimal. So they all should be fresh. For what we are trying to do, we have to be better.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
Cole Young (L) 2B
Julio Rodríguez (R) DH
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Luke Raley (L) CF
Mitch Garver (R) C
J.P. Crawford (L) 3B
Colt Emerson (L) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Andy Pages (R) CF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Eliezer Alfonzo (S) C
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Randy Arozarena (.284)
Hits: Randy Arozarena (102)
Home Runs: Dominic Canzone (16)
RBI: Cole Young (48)
Stolen Bases: Josh Naylor (21)
Wins: George Kirby (8)
Saves: Andrés Muñoz (18)
ERA: Matt Brash (0.54)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Enrique Hernández (1.000)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (117)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (22)
RBI: Andy Pages (69)
Stolen Bases: Andy Pages (10)
Wins: Justin Wrobleski (11)
Saves: Tanner Scott (16)
ERA: Shohei Ohtani (1.79)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
