Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/25/2022

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Sep 24, 2022
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, September 25, 2022
Venue:  Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO 
Where to Watch:  BSKC

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -180, Royals +155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -180, Royals +155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -180, Royals +155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  82-68 (2nd place, AL West)
Kansas City Royals:  62-89 (4th place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10
Kansas City Royals:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Preview and Analysis

 
The Mariners lost 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 82-68 record overall and have a road record of 43-36. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Royals on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-6 with a 2.85 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 4.2 IP against the Oakland Athletics.
 
The Royals enter this game on a 4 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 62-89 record overall and have a home record of 38-41. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .685 OPS. Kris Bubic is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Max Castillo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

 

Mariners vs Royals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't looked great in their games lately but they are still trying to hold down their final Wild Card spot so they will be motivated to break out of their recent slump here. They have one of their better starters up for this game and he has been pitching very well all season. The Royals have been very hot lately as they enter this series on a winning streak, but they are not the kind of team that is going to sustain that as they have one of the worst records in the MLB this year. The Mariners need to start winning games again and the Royals don't have a very good starter as he is a rookie and very inexperienced pitching in the MLB. The Royals also have one of the worst offenses in the MLB too, and they are going to struggle to put up runs on Castillo here. The Mariners have a good offense and they will wake up in this game with some runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
 
Mariners Royals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 25, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 5 Royals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 82-68 (+8.4 Units) ML in all games. 43-36 (+9.1 Units) ML in road games. 17-9 OVER as a road favorite of -125 to -175.
Kansas City Royals: 62-89 (-11.8 Units) ML in all games. 45-76 (-11.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 15-5 OVER as a home underdog of +125 to +175. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  E. Suarez (3B) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Murphy (C) out for season - Shoulder. J. Rodriguez (RF) Out indefinitely - Back.
Kansas City Royals:  J. Brentz (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Zuber (RP) out for season - Shoulder. A. Mondesi (SS) out for season - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Concerning. It's the same area in the low back. He'll get work up tomorrow when we get to Kansas City, get an MRI and pictures of that." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Athletics on Thursday.
 
 
"Much better version of baseball. The aim is always to win, but you put a couple of wins together against a team that you haven't had success against and you see the confidence starting to swell." - Mike Matheny after his team’s win against the Twins on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Mitch Haniger (R) RF
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Ty France (R) 3B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Jarred Kelenic (L) CF
Jesse Winker (L) DH
Abraham Toro (S) 2B
Adam Frazier (L) LF
 
Kansas City Royals
MJ Melendez (L) C
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Salvador Perez (R) DH
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Edward Olivares (R) LF
Michael A. Taylor (R) CF
Hunter Dozier (R) RF
Michael Massey (L) 2B
Nate Eaton (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Drew Ellis (.333)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (140)
Home Runs:  Eugenio Suarez (31)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (84)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (25)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (13)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)
ERA:  Justus Sheffield (0.00)
 
Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Maikel Garcia (.318)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (139)
Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (22)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (77)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (28)
Wins:  Brad Singer (10)
Saves:  Scott Barlow (23)
ERA:  Angel Zerpa (1.64)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Kansas City Royals: Mike Matheny (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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