Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/19/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Aug 18, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 19, 2023
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +136, Astros -162; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +135, Astros -155; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +136, Astros -162; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  66-55 (3rd place, AL West)
Houston Astros:  70-52 (2nd place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10
Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 66-55 record overall and have a road record of 32-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Friday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-5 with a 3.80 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 4.1 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Astros are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-52 record overall and have a home record of 33-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Rookie pitcher J.P. France is their starting pitcher on Friday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-8 with a 3.31 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7.2 innings played against the Miami Marlins.


Mariners vs Astros Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros have been rolling in their games lately as they have been playing a lot better over the last few weeks with their offense improving a lot. The World Series champions have finally gotten into gear now and are looking to chase down the Texas Rangers who lead the AL West at the moment. The Mariners have also been on a roll lately as they have worked themselves into the playoff race now but they haven't been nearly as consistent as the Astros have been lately and their offense hasn't been as strong either. The Mariners have Gilbert on the mound here and he has been good this season but lately he has been more up and down in his starts and even gave up 4 runs in his last start. He is going to get into trouble here with the way he has been pitching lately and the Astros will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get now that their offense is getting hot. The Astros are also going to have Valdez starting in this game and he has been lights out in his starts lately going really deep into them while not giving up many runs. He will make it really hard for this Mariners offense to put up runs on the road here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 19, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 5 Mariners 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 19-11 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 32-27 (+4.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 27-18 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200. LOGAN GILBERT is 14-8 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Houston Astros: 33-26 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 25-22 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 12-7 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200. FRAMBER VALDEZ is 8-2 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  T. Murphy (C) Out indefinitely - Thumb. M. Gonzales (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Crawford (SS) Out indefinitely - Concussion. E. White (1B) Late Aug - Thigh. B. Woo (SP) Late Aug - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Houston Astros:  P. Maton (RP) Late Aug - Elbow. J. Abreu (1B) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That's absolutely as good as you can do in this league. I don't care who you're facing.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Thursday.


“The game got a little hairy there for a minute. We had a couple of crooked numbers, which was great.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Ty France (R) 1B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) DH
Dylan Moore (R) 2B
Brian O'Keefe (R) C
Jose Caballero (R) SS
Cade Marlowe (L) LF
Sam Haggerty (S) RF

Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Jon Singleton (L) 1B
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Mauricio Dubon (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Cade Marlowe (.293)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (134)
Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (22)
RBI:  Julio Rodriguez (78)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (30)
Wins:  George Kirby (10)
Saves:  Andres Munoz (6)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Jose Altuve (.320)
Hits:  Kyle Tucker (131)
Home Runs:  Kyle Tucker (24)
RBI:  Kyle Tucker (92)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (24)
Wins:  Framber Valdez (9)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (28)
ERA:  Hector Neris (1.81)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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