Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/04/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 03, 2022
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, May 4, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +150, Astros -170; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +150, Astros -170; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +150, Astros -170; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  12-11 (2nd place, AL West)
Houston Astros:  12-11 (3rd place, AL West)
 
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Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Mariners are coming into this game with a 12-11 record overall and they are 5-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Astros on Wednesday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday night. Chris Flexen is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Matt Brash is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-2 with a 6.88 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits in 2 IP against the Miami Marlins. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 12-11 record overall and they are 3-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Wednesday while the 2nd game is still to be played on Tuesday. Cristian Javier is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Justin Verlander will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits in 7 IP against the Texas Rangers. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

The Astros are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They have been starting to play much better in their recent games and they already took the first game of this series. They have been hitting the ball very well recently while they are going up against a Mariners side that was off to a very good start to the season but have started to cool off in their recent games. They did not even score a run in the first game of this series and the Astros usually have their number here at home. The Astros also have their ace on the mound in this game in Verlander while the Mariners have a rookie starting here and he has already had a few bad starts this season. The Astros have a very good lineup and it is going to be very tough for Brash to keep them off the board here. The best bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 9 Mariners 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 89-90 (+37.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 129-116 (+41.7 Units) ML in all games. 27-18 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200.
Houston Astros: 153-121 (-13.4 Units) ML in all games. 76-44 (-10.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -150 or more. 35-21 OVER as a home favorite of -125 to -175.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  M. Haniger (RF) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. K. Lewis (CF) Mid May - Knee injury. K. Giles (RP) Mid May - Finger injury.
Houston Astros:  L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early June - Forearm injury. J. Meyers (CF) Mid May - Shoulder injury. R. Pressly (RP) Mid May - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It was great to get Marco back out there and I thought he pitched a really good ball game for us. He made just a couple mistakes, but the fastball/changeup back and forth had them off balance and gave us a chance to win the ball game. But you aren't going to win many games if you don't score runs." - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Astros on Monday.
 
 
"Location has been great. He used his fastball a lot more and then his split was better. It shows you what kind of shape he's in, he maintained his velocity the whole time he was out there." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Astros on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Ty France (R) 1B
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Eugenio Suarez (R) DH
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Abraham Toro (S) 3B
Jarred Kelenic (L) RF
Luis Torrens (R) C
 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  J.P. Crawford (.375)
Hits:  Ty France (31)
Home Runs:  Ty France (5)
RBI:  Ty France (21)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (9)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (4)
Saves:  Diego Castillo (1)
ERA:  Erik Swanson (0.00)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Michael Brantley (.286)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (22)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (7)
RBI:  Kyle Tucker (15)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (4)
Wins:  Jose Urquidy (2)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (3)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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