Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 02, 2022
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, May 3, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Astros -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Astros -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Astros -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  12-10 (2nd place, AL West)
Houston Astros:  11-11 (3rd place, AL West)
 
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Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10
Houston Astros:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Mariners are coming into this game with a 12-10 record overall and they are 5-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 4 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Tuesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday night. Marco Gonzales is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Chris Flexen is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-3 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 6.2 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 11-11 record overall and they are 2-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday while the series opener is still to be played on Monday night. Jake Odorizzi is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Cristian Javier will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 5 IP against the Texas Rangers. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

The Astros are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. The Astros have not played a lot of games at home this season yet but they are below .500 through their first 6 home games and they will likely be hungry for some wins here at home, especially after losing another series in their last one, their 2nd time losing a series to the Jays this season. The Astros played very well in that series despite losing it though, they blew the doors off in the first game winning 11-7 but the other 2 games they only lost by 1 run in each as they both turned into pitchers duels. The Astros have a solid starter in Javier on the mound in this game and he has been much better than Flexen has this season. They are going up against a Mariners team that has not been playing well on the road this season and they just lost their last 2 series straight. The bats for the Mariners have started to quiet down recently after a very hot start and the Astros have started to awaken a little in their last series. The Astros will get their hits on Flexen in this game and they should score a lot of runs on him here at home. The best bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 3, 2022 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 7 Mariners 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 89-89 (+38.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 129-115 (+42.7 Units) ML in all games. 6-3 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Houston Astros: 152-121 (-14.4 Units) ML in all games. 62-52 (-4.2 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-2 UNDER against right-handed starters.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  M. Haniger (RF) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. M. Gonzales (SP) Prob Mon - Wrist injury. K. Giles (RP) Mid May - Finger injury.
Houston Astros:  J. Altuve (2B) Prob Mon - Hamstring injury. J. Meyers (CF) Mid May - Shoulder injury. R. Pressly (RP) Mid May - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I just wanted to finish strong, he had a good swing. That stuff happens, but yeah, I wasn't too happy with it." - Logan Gilbert after their win against the Marlins on Sunday.
 
 
"It's two of the best teams in baseball competing against each other. It's a high-level game of baseball being played. It's fun competing against such a great team like them.” - Alex Bregman after their loss against the Blue Jays on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Ty France (R) 1B
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Abraham Toro (S) DH
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Jarred Kelenic (L) RF
Tom Murphy (R) C
 
Houston Astros
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Michael Brantley (L) DH
Aledmys Diaz (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Niko Goodrum (S) 2B
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  J.P. Crawford (.372)
Hits:  J.P. Crawford (29)
Home Runs:  Ty France (5)
RBI:  Ty France (21)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (9)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (4)
Saves:  Diego Castillo (1)
ERA:  Erik Swanson (0.00)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Chas McCormick (.288)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (20)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (6)
RBI:  Kyle Tucker (15)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (4)
Wins:  Jose Urquidy (2)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (3)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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