Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/20/2024

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 20, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Guardians +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Guardians +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Guardians +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

Seattle Mariners:  44-31 (1st place, AL West)

Cleveland Guardians:  44-26 (1st place, AL Central)

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Seattle Mariners:  8-2 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-31 record overall and have a road record of 17-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Mariners won the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Bryan Woo is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-7 with a 3.32 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Texas Rangers.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-26 record overall and have a home record of 21-9. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Guardians lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Tanner Bibee is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Allen is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 5.30 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 44-31 record overall which leads the AL West. They haven't looked as good in their road games with their 17-19 road record though. Meanwhile, the Guardians have also looked really good in their games this season with their 44-26 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 21-9 home record. The Guardians have been cooling off lately as they just lost their last series in Toronto and are only 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Mariners have been getting hot though, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they have the momentum from a sweep against the Rangers in their last series which was big for them in the division race. The Mariners will have a solid starter on the mound in Castillo and he is 6-7 with a 3.32 ERA. He has 7 losses this season, but he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, and now the team has been playing better with him, winning 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. The Guardians are going with Allen in this game and he hasn't been great this season. He is 7-3 but has a 5.30 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been the case for most of the season. He has 7 wins this year, but the team has been cooling off lately and they have only won 1 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Mariners are rolling right now and they can take advantage of the Guardians in a bit of a slump by winning this game and the series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mariners Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 20, 2024 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Guardians 4.

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Seattle Mariners: 7-7 (-2.8 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -110 or higher. 17-19 (-2.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 9-9 (-1 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 10-4 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher. LUIS CASTILLO is 10-3 UNDER in all games and 17-6 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Cleveland Guardians: 44-26 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-9 (+8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 13-4 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 60-35 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 8-4 UNDER in June games.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Woo (SP) Prob Wed - Arm. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. T. France (3B) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Polanco (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. G. Speier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. G. Santos (SP) Mid July - Back. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  J. Ramírez (3B) Ques Wed - Personal. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We’re feeling good. This is how we expected to start the year and we’re starting to put it together. It’s a really good baseball team. We’re going to throw it and whenever we swing it like that, it’s going to be tough to beat us.” - Bryce Miller after their win against the Guardians in their game on Tuesday.

“We just didn’t get the big hit tonight. We were close to outhitting them or just about even, but there’s were for extra bases. Ours weren’t. There’s the difference in the game. They cashed in their opportunities and we didn’t.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Tuesday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Josh Rojas (L) 3B

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Ty France (R) 1B

Luke Raley (L) LF

Mitch Garver (R) DH

Dominic Canzone (L) RF

Dylan Moore (R) 2B

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

José Ramírez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

David Fry (R) DH

Will Brennan (L) RF

Daniel Schneemann (L) CF

Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Bo Naylor (L) C

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (78)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (12)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (44)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (16)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (6)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (13)

ERA:  Bryan Woo (1.07)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.392)

Hits:  José Ramírez (73)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (18)

RBI:  José Ramírez (63)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (11)

Wins:  Logan Allen (7)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)