Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/19/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Friday, May 19, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  Apple TV+

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +120, Braves -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +120, Braves -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +120, Braves -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  21-22 (4th place, AL West)

Atlanta Braves:  27-16 (1st place, NL East)

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Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

The Mariners are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak. They enter this game with a 21-22 record overall and have a road record of 11-10. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Marco Gonzales was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA this season. His team won all 3 games this season with him making an appearance but he is still in his rookie season. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Braves are entering this game off of a win in their last game. They enter this game with a 27-16 record overall and have a home record of 10-9. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Friday and they have a day of rest on Thursday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .802 OPS. Spencer Strider was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-0 with a 1.94 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been great this season with their 27-16 record overall making them one of the better teams in the MLB while the Mariners have been struggling to even stay above .500 when they were expected to get out of the gate this season much quicker than this. The Mariners were really surging near the end of last season as they ended up making the playoffs but they are starting to regress this season as they struggle just to win games and they have no offense either. The Braves have a really good offense though and they also have some great pitching too. The Mariners are starting a rookie in this game and an experienced lineup like the Braves have will eat this starter alive as the Braves have been hot lately scoring a lot of runs and have one of the best offenses in the league. They also have a better starter of their own on the mound here and they will be able to take advantage of the Mariners who have been very cold on offense to start the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Mariners Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 19, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Mariners 2.

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Seattle Mariners: 13-17 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 21-22 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 8-2 OVER after a loss by 8 runs or more. 19-13 OVER after allowing 9 runs or more.

Atlanta Braves: 23-10 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 19-8 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline after a win. 22-10 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 14-5 OVER in home games.

Seattle Mariners:  D. Moore (RF) Late May - Oblique. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh. A. Munoz (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. P. Murfee (SP) Late May - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. L. Luetge (RP) Late May - Bicep. E. Adrianza (2B) Late May - Elbow. M. Fried (SP) Early July - Forearm. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We knew coming into this series they had a really good offense and we needed to pitch well. We just didn’t execute pitches. You look up and they got big numbers on the board and it’s tough to come back when you get that far down. We just didn’t execute or do what we needed to do on the mound early in the ballgame to give us a chance.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

“You catch yourself on the edge watching every pitch because every swing you think something’s magically going to happen. And what he’s doing right now is incredible.” - Austin Riley after their win against the Rangers in their game on Wednesday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Ty France (R) 1B

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Taylor Trammell (L) DH

Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Jose Caballero (.298)

Hits:  Ty France (45)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (8)

RBI:  Teoscar Hernandez (22)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (7)

Wins:  George Kirby (5)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (9)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.345)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (58)

Home Runs:  Ronald Acuna (11)

RBI:  Sean Murphy (34)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (18)

Wins:  Charlie Morton (5)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (7)

ERA:  Danny Young (1.08)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)