Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 30, 2023

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, D-Backs +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, D-Backs +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, D-Backs +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

Seattle Mariners:  53-50 (4th place, AL West)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  55-49 (3rd place, NL West)

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Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  3-7 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-50 record overall and have a road record of 24-25. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-7 with a 3.02 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-49 record overall and have a home record of 27-27. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Pfaadt is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-4 with a 3.12 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been rolling since coming out of the All-Star break as their offense has been getting a lot better now and they are starting to win a lot more games too as they try to get into a playoff position. The Diamondbacks have also been rolling all season as they were leading the NL West for most of the year and also have one of the top 10 offenses in the MLB, but lately they haven't been good and their offense has struggled a lot more since coming out of the All-Star break. Their pitching staff hasn't been great this season either so they have been getting into a lot of trouble in their games from that too. They do have Kelly on the mound here and he has been a really reliable starter for them but he has also missed a lot of time this season due to injury and even though he was good in his last start, he could easily fall apart here against this hot Mariners offense. The Mariners also have their ace Castillo on the mound here and he has been pitching really well all season, not giving up many runs in his starts lately either. He will be able to shut down this D-Backs offense that has been cooling off lately anyway and the Mariners will be able to get through this game with the better pitching matchup and the better offense right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 30, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Diamondbacks 2.

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Seattle Mariners: 53-50 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 44-41 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 6-3 UNDER against NL West opponents. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 55-49 (+9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-17 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 10-5 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 16-8 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Seattle Mariners:  M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. A. Pollock (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. G. Moreno (C) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. C. Sulser (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. Z. Davies (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

“Good way to start the series. We jumped out early in the first inning on Henry right out of the chute, which is great to see.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.

"I'll never stop believing in this team and their ability to win a baseball game. They have proven it to me time and time again.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Friday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Tom Murphy (R) DH

Ty France (R) 1B

Dylan Moore (R) LF

Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Corbin Carroll (L) CF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Dominic Canzone (L) DH

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B

Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Jose Herrera (S) C

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.283)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (105)

Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (17)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (62)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (24)

Wins:  George Kirby (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (21)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (111)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (67)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (31)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)

Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)

ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.31)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)