Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 29, 2023

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -140, D-Backs +120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -140, D-Backs +120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -140, D-Backs +120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  52-50 (4th place, AL West)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  55-48 (3rd place, NL West)

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Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  3-7 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-50 record overall and have a road record of 23-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-3 with a 4.91 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-48 record overall and have a home record of 27-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Tommy Henry is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Brandon Pfaadt is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-4 with an 8.81 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 3 homers, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have struggled for most of the season but their offense has been getting better now and their whole team has been playing a lot better too. The Diamondbacks are in the opposite situation now as they were leading the NL West for most of the season but now find themselves in 3rd place as the team has been regressing along with their offense. The Mariners have Woo starting in this game and he has been a bit shaky in his starts lately but he still doesn't give up a ton of runs and racks up a lot of Ks too. He is going to give this D-Backs lineup trouble in this game since they haven't been putting up as many runs lately and the Mariners will also be looking to continue rolling in this series as they try to get into a playoff position. The D-Backs are trending in the wrong direction right now and they aren't going to get any help from Pfaadt on the mound here who hasn't made many starts this season but has been terrible in the few starts he has made. Pfaadt has been giving up a ton of runs in all of his starts this year and the Mariners will definitely take advantage of the way he has been pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 29, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 5 Diamondbacks 3.

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Seattle Mariners: 52-50 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-19 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 8-4 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 8-3 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 or more.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 55-48 (+10 units) on the moneyline in all games. 43-33 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 23-15 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 15-8 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Crawford (SS) Ques Fri - Knee. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. A. Pollock (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. G. Moreno (C) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. C. Sulser (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. Z. Davies (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

“Interesting game, interesting series. Obviously, the Twins are one of the hottest teams in baseball coming out of the (All-Star) break, so to get in here and win two out of three — you look at all three games, we could have won all three, we could've easily lost all three — and end up winning the series, you feel good about it.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.

“We don’t want to waste opportunities that may be in front of us. This team will continue to mature, and I think giving this team an opportunity to play in a pennant chase is extremely important.” - Mike Hazen after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Mike Ford (L) DH

Ty France (R) 1B

Tom Murphy (R) C

Cade Marlowe (L) LF

Dylan Moore (R) SS

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Corbin Carroll (L) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Dominic Canzone (L) DH

Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B

Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Alek Thomas (L) CF

Jose Herrera (S) C

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.276)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (103)

Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (17)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (61)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (23)

Wins:  George Kirby (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (20)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (108)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (67)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (30)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)

Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)

ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.31)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)