Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 27, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, July 28, 2023
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  ARID


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  52-50 (4th place, AL West)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  55-48 (3rd place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  3-7 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-50 record overall and have a road record of 23-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-5 with a 3.88 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-48 record overall and have a home record of 27-26. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Zac Gallen was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Tommy Henry is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-3 with a 4.01 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.


Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't had a great season but they have been playing a lot better lately with a much better offense now and they will be a tough team for the Diamondbacks to stop here as they are getting hot. The Diamondbacks were in 1st place of the NL West for most of the season but lately they have slipped down to 3rd place as they are regressing and their pitching has been terrible in their games lately too. The Mariners are starting to hit the ball a lot better now and they are going to put up runs in this game with how bad the D-Backs pitching has been, especially when the D-Backs have been a worse home team this season than on the road. The Diamondbacks also have Henry starting in this game who has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts lately and just like the Diamondbacks team as a whole, Henry has also been a worse starter in his home starts than his road starts. The Mariners have a much better pitching matchup in this game with Gilbert starting since he has been really reliable as a starter all season and he won't give up many runs in this game while Henry and the Diamondbacks will. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 28, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 7 Diamondbacks 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 52-50 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-19 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 8-4 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 8-3 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 or more.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 55-48 (+10 units) on the moneyline in all games. 43-33 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 23-15 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 8-4 UNDER after allowing 9 runs or more.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  J. Crawford (SS) Ques Fri - Knee. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. A. Pollock (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. G. Moreno (C) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. C. Sulser (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. Z. Davies (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Interesting game, interesting series. Obviously, the Twins are one of the hottest teams in baseball coming out of the (All-Star) break, so to get in here and win two out of three — you look at all three games, we could have won all three, we could've easily lost all three — and end up winning the series, you feel good about it.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.


“We don’t want to waste opportunities that may be in front of us. This team will continue to mature, and I think giving this team an opportunity to play in a pennant chase is extremely important.” - Mike Hazen after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Mike Ford (L) DH
Ty France (R) 1B
Tom Murphy (R) C
Cade Marlowe (L) LF
Dylan Moore (R) SS
Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Arizona Diamondbacks
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Dominic Canzone (L) DH
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) RF
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Jose Herrera (S) C

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.276)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (103)
Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (17)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (61)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (23)
Wins:  George Kirby (9)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (20)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (108)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)
RBI:  Christian Walker (67)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (30)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.31)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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