SDSU Aztecs vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Where to Watch:  Pac-12 Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Aztecs +2.5, Wildcats -2.5; Over/Under:  47 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Aztecs +2, Wildcats -2; Over/Under:  46.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Aztecs +2, Wildcats -2; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

SDSU Aztecs:  1-0 (1st place, MW West)
Arizona Wildcats:  0-1 (6th place, Pac-12 South)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is 15-5 L20 NCAAF and 9-2 L11 (10*) NCAAF. Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


SDSU Aztecs vs Arizona Wildcats Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
SDSU Aztecs:  won 1
Arizona Wildcats:  lost 1

Offensive Analysis

Last season the SDSU Aztecs averaged a 56.7% completion percentage, 151.4 passing yards, and 0.8 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 201.6 rushing yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Arizona Wildcats were averaging a 60.3% completion percentage, 213 passing yards, and 1.2 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 156.4 rushing yards and 0.8 touchdowns per game on the ground.

Defensive Analysis

Last season the SDSU Aztecs were allowing teams a 59.9% completion percentage, 185.3 passing yards, and 1.4 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 98.6 rushing yards and 0.6 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Arizona Wildcats were allowing teams a 65.6% completion percentage, 202.4 passing yards, and 1.2 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 270.6 rushing yards and 3.8 touchdowns per game on the ground.


Aztecs vs Wildcats Prediction

The San Diego State Aztecs are coming into this college football game sitting in 1st place of the MW West with a 1-0 record. They put their season opener of the college football season against the New Mexico State University Aggies in the win column 28-10. They were down 10 total points at halftime in that one and they came out big time having an explosive second half starting to play at a high level especially their top players and they came out as the winner. They were a much better team, a more physical team in the trenches that was able to finish drives thanks to their offensive line. Jordon Brookshire struggled in SDSU’s last win at the quarterback position completing 7/20 passes for 115 yards and 1 interception. Greg Bell was the real star on this team as he led his team with the rush with 161 yards and 1 touchdown on 21 carries. Jordan Byrd and Brookshire also found the end zone on the ground but neither of them hit 50 yards rushing in that game. Kobe Smith led the team in receiving with 63 yards on 2 receptions but other than that they did not have much going for them in the passing game. Noah Tumblin led the team on defense with 8 solo tackles. There were 5 different players on the defense who got to the quarterback in that game. Michael Shawcroft, Tayler Hawkins, and Andrew Aleki all recorded 1 interception each in that game.

The Arizona football team is coming into this matchup on Saturday night sitting in 6th place of the Pac-12 South with a 0-1 record. They lost their first game of the season to BYU 24-16. Gunner Cruz played a pretty good game in their last one completing 34/45 passes for 336 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Michael Wiley led the team in rushing with 64 yards on 15 carries but other than that they did not have much of a run game in that one. Stanley Berryhill III had a great outing leading the team in receiving yards with 102 on 12 receptions. Brian Casteel caught the only touchdown pass for them in that one though. Gunner Moldonado led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 3 assists. Kyon Barrs recorded the only sack in the game for them. 

The Aztecs played very well in their last game and have a strong run game and an experienced team that will eat away at the clock as they focus on longer drives to keep their opponents defense on the field. UA has a good passing game but their quarterback struggled with accuracy in their last game and they did not really have much of a run game either. These 2 teams take a complete opposite approach on offense so the under has some value as SDSU has a good defense so this game should be relatively low scoring for both sides. The bookmaker has the Aztecs as an underdog and they have a chance to even win in this game so there is some good value for bettors with a wager on the money line.

Aztecs Wildcats Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Sep 11, 2021 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Aztecs 20 Wildcats 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free college football picks and free picks in all sports as well as expert football best bets and picks today.  And if you enjoyed this SDSU Aztecs Arizona Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

SDSU Aztecs: 8-2 ATS after playing a game at home. 6-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Arizona Wildcats: 2-10 ATS in games played on turf. 1-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 0-6 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers.

Key Injuries

SDSU Aztecs:  None.
Arizona Wildcats:  J. Morgan (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.  J. Joiner (WR) Ques Sat - Foot injury. J. Triplett (LB) Ques Sat - Knee injury.

Players to Watch

SDSU Aztecs Greg Bell is one player to watch in this single game. He played great last week scoring 1 touchdown and rushing for over 150 yards in that game. He is an explosive player and he will have to keep it up to extend his team’s drives in this game and keep Kentucky’s defense on the field for longer if they want to pull off the upset here.
Arizona Wildcats: Gunner Cruz is one player to watch for them in road and home games. He played alright in the last game gaining lots of yardage but had some issues with his accuracy. If he plays more carefully than they can win this game but if he struggles to find his guys this SDSU defense will eat him alive so watch for what he does as it could impact the momentum in the game heavily.

Notable Quotes

“I really believe that if you never quit and you never give up, and you give it everything you have every single day, the rewards will come.” - Jedd Fisch on the type of mentality he is trying to teach his team in his first year.
“As always, it’s great to win. I’m very proud of how we responded (in the second half) because I thought the first half we made too many mistakes. We made too many penalties. We didn’t have enough discipline in all areas. ... I was ticked off. ... I didn’t have a whole lot of fun, I can promise you that.” - Brady Hoke on how his team played in their first game of the season.

Starting Lineups

SDSU Aztecs
WR Kothe, Elijah 
WR Matthews, Jesse 
WR Busbee, BJ 
TE Bellinger, Daniel 
TE Rudolph, Jay 
QB Brookshire, Jordon 
RB Bell, Greg 
RB Byrd, Jordan 
Arizona Wildcats
WR Cunningham, Tayvian 
WR Casteel, BJ 
WR Berryhill III, Stanley 
TE Wolma, Bryce 
QB Cruz, Gunner 
RB Wiley, Michael 
FB Markoff, Clay 

Statistical Leaders

SDSU Aztecs
Passing: J. Brookshire (115)
Rushing: G. Bell (161)
Receiving: K. Smith (63)
Touchdowns: G. Bell (1)
Sacks: C. McDonald (1.5)
Tackles: N. Tumblin (8)
Arizona Wildcats
Passing: G. Cruz (336)
Rushing: M. Wiley (64)
Receiving: S. Berryhill III (102)
Touchdowns: B. Casteel (1)
Sacks: K. Barrs (1)
Tackles: G. Maldonado (4)
SDSU Aztecs: Brady Hoke (2nd season)
Arizona Wildcats: Jedd Fisch (1st season)

Weather Forecast

86 degrees mostly sunny, 29% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds N.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2021 Al McMordie's All Rights Reserved.