San Jose State Spartans vs UNLV Rebels Picks, Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/21/2021

by James Q

San Jose State Spartans vs UNLV Rebels Picks, Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/21/2021

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Thursday, October 21st, 2021
Venue:  Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 2


Opening NCAAF Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Spread: San Jose -5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
Circa:  Spread: San Jose -4.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
Caesars:  Spread: San Jose -4.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

San Jose State: 1-2 conf, 3-4 overall (Mountain West)
UNLV:  0-2 conf, 0-6 overall (Mountain West)

San Jose State isn’t having a great season.  They rarely do.  The San Jose Spartans never find themselves on ESPN unless they are on the losing end of another team's big win highlights. SJSU will want to win this game to keep from being embarrassed.

UNLV is functioning as college football’s crash test dummies.  They are 6 games into the season… 2 games into conference play, completely winless and maybe hopeless. The UNLV Runnin Rebels are a best bet anytime they play because we already know they won’t win the game… but they are 4-1 ATS… and will they contribute to the point total?... They had a close game last weekend against Utah State.
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San Jose State vs UNLV Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
San Jose State has a few big losses on their record USC 30-7, Western Michigan 23-3, Colorado State 32-42…. And one close loss to the San Diego State Aztecs 19-13.  The three winning matchups were against New Mexico State (bad team) 37-31, Hawaii (bad team, in conference win) 17-13, and they blew out Southern Utah (small school, bad but plucky team) 45-14. 
UNLV has six losses in six games.  Not all of them have been ugly, but they’ve all been losses.  Eastern Washington 35-33, Arizona State 37-10, Iowa State 48-3, Fresno State 38-30, UTSA 24-17, Utah State 28-24… If there are 2 bright spots in all this losing it is that UNLV hung 30 points on Fresno State….  also UTSA and Iowa State are really, really good football teams.

Offensive Analysis

San Jose State scores 19.4 ppg on 334.7 ypg.  It’s meager.  They are ranked 111th on offense out of 130 in the FBS. 
UNLV scores 19.5 ppg on 290.3 ypg.  They score 0.1 more points per game than SJSU while gaining 44 less yards per game… It’s bleak.  They are ranked the 124th team on offense out of 130 in the FBS.

Defensive Analysis

Despite how meager San Jose State looks on offense… they shine on D.  The defense ranks 45th in the FBS.  They have given up 17 touchdowns on 350 yards per game.

UNLV is ranked 116th on defense in the FBS.  They have given up 27 touchdowns and 450 yards per game.  Any team is guaranteed to be winless if they average giving up 160 more ypg than their offense gets.
Charlotte vs Florida International Prediction
Our prediction for Friday, October 8th is….   San Jose State 28 - UNLV 13
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NCAAF Betting Trends

San Jose State is 21-8 ATS as a road favorite since 1993.
San Jose State is 11-5 ATS against all conference opponents the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 4-8 ATS the last three seasons.
UNLV is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

Starting Lineups

SJSU:  QB Nick Nash, RB Tyler Nevens, TE Derrick Deese Jr, WR Charles Ross, WR Isaiah Hamilton, WR Jermaine Braddock, LT Jack Snyder, LG Trevor Robbins, C Kyle Hoppe, RG Tyler Stevens, RT Jaime Navarro

UNLV:  QB Doug Brumfield, RB Charles Williams, TE Giovanni Fauolo Sr, WR Steve Jenkins, WR Zyell Griffin, WR Kyle Williams, LT Clayton Bradley, LG Julio Garcia, C Leif Fautanu, RG Daviyon McDaniel, RT Tiger Shanks


Statistical Leaders

Passing Yards:  Nick Starkel 992
Rushing Yards:  Tyler Nevens 480
Receiving Yards: Derrick Deese 447
Tackles:  Kyle Harmon 66
Interceptions:  Nehemiah Shelton 1 

Passing Yards: Cameron Friel 619
Rushing Yards:  Charles Williams 625
Receiving Yards: Steve Jenkins 223
Tackles: Jacoby Windmon 57
Interceptions: Phillip Hill 2

San Jose State: Brent Brennan
UNLV: Marcus Arroyo

Weather Forecast

Partly Cloudy.  18% humidity… 0% chance of precipitation 79* for the day's high.  It's the desert. 

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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