San Jose State Spartans vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/19/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:30 am ET, Sunday, September 19, 2021
Venue:  Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1 (FS1)


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spartans -6.5, Rainbow Warriors +6.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spartans -6.5, Rainbow Warriors +6.5; Over/Under:  61 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spartans NL, Rainbow Warriors NL; Over/Under:  61 points

Season Record

San Jose State Spartans:  1-1 (4th place, MW West)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors:  1-1 (5th place, MW West)
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San Jose State Spartans vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
San Jose State Spartans:  Lost on the road on Sep. 4 against the USC Trojans 30-7.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors:  Won at home on Sep. 5 against the Portland State Vikings 49-35.

Offensive Analysis

Last season the San Jose State Spartans averaged a 63.5% completion percentage, 298.4 passing yards, and 2.4 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 134.1 rushing yards and 1 touchdown per game on the ground. The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors were averaging a 61.9% completion percentage, 231.4 passing yards, and 1.6 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 152.6 rushing yards and 1.7 touchdowns per game on the ground.

Defensive Analysis

Last season the San Jose State Spartans were allowing teams a 62.1% completion percentage, 225.89 passing yards, and 1 touchdown per game through the air. They also allowed 123.4 rushing yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors were allowing teams a 54.9% completion percentage, 197.1 passing yards, and 1.3 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 212.3 rushing yards and 1.9 touchdowns per game on the ground.


Spartans vs Rainbow Warriors Prediction

SJSU is coming into this matchup with a 1-1 record overall, this will be the first of their conference games on the schedule. They won their first game of the college football season against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds and followed that game up with a loss in their previous game against the USC Trojans. Nick Starkel really struggled in the passing game in that last game completing 24/46 passes for 308 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Tyler Nevens led the team in rushing with 58 yards and 1 TD on 15 carries but other than that the team did not really do much in the ground game. Isaiah Hamilton led the receivers with 74 yards on 6 receptions. Tre Jenkins led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense recorded an interception but Junior Fehoko and Tre Smith both had 1 sack each in the game. They have scored 52 points in 2 games and have allowed their opponents to score 44 points against them. San Jose State's offense attack averages 459.5 YPG and San Jose State’s defense has been allowing 333 YPG.

Hawaii is coming into this game with a 1-2 record after 3 non-conference games, and will now be playing their first conference game of the year. They lost their first game of the college football season against the UCLA Bruins, followed that one up with a win against the Portland State Vikings, and then lost again in their last game against the Oregon State Beavers. Chevan Cordeiro did not have the best game as he completed 24/49 passes for 366 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Their run game did not do much in that one as he also led them in rushing with 48 yards on 13 carries. Nick Mardner led the receivers with 110 yards and 1 TD on 6 receptions while Calvin Turner Jr. was not far behind him with 106 receiving yards and 1 TD on 7 receptions. O'Tay Baker led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones, also having 1 sack in that game as well. They have scored 86 points in their first 3 games and have allowed their opponents to score 124 points against them. The Hawaii offense is averaging 432 YPG and their defense has been allowing 475.7 YPG.

SJSU has been moving the ball well this season on offense but so has Hawaii. Hawaii's defense is allowing more yardage than the Spartans but they have also faced tougher competition. This game is in Hawaii and there is a big travel aspect that has to be taken into account as this is no normal flight across the country. Draftkings sportsbook has Hawaii as the underdog with their current betting odds by almost a touchdown and there is a lot of value on them to cover that spread here at home. Bettors should be placing their bets on Hawaii to cover this spread as it should be a close conference matchup.

Spartans vs Rainbow Warriors Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Sunday, September 19, 2021 (12:30 am ET start time) is Rainbow Warriors 31 Spartans 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

San Jose State Spartans: 8-2 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 10-3 ATS against conference opponents.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 1-6 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 7-10 ATS against conference opponents.

Key Injuries

San Jose State Spartans:  None.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors:  None.

Players to Watch

San Jose State Spartans: Derrick Deese is one player to watch in this game. He did not have a big impact in their last game but he does lead this team in receiving yards. Look for him to make some big catches on 3rd down and in the end zone to help his team win this one.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: Dae Dae Hunter is one player to watch in this FBS matchup. He was quiet in their last game but he leads the team in rushing yards this season. Look for him to make a big impact in the run game as they look to control the pace here and pull off the upset win. 

Notable Quotes

“This game will be an emotional deal for me because that’s still pretty fresh for all us. I think it speaks to how the University of Hawaii and the state of Hawaii embraced Colt and how they felt about him and how in what he gave them in the magical run of winning football and packed stadium, Aloha Stadium, and you look at those videos that they’ve been kind of on repeat for the last few months, just to see Aloha Stadium full and just people going wild and just what that was for both Colt and UH and the state of Hawaii.” - Brent Brennan on returning to Hawaii for the first time since the death of his cousin Colt Brennan.
“We are disappointed because we were looking forward to playing in front of our fans again. However we understand the decision was made in the best interest of public safety and can only hope the restrictions will be lifted when the time is right.” - David Matlin on Hawaii not allowing any fans in the stadium for their games this season.

Starting Lineups

San Jose State Spartans
WR Ross, Charles 
WR Hamilton, Isaiah 
WR Braddock, Jermaine 
TE Deese Jr., Derrick 
QB Starkel, Nick 
RB Nevens, Tyler 
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
WR Cephus, Aaron 
WR Smart, Jared 
TE Phillips, Caleb 
HB Turner, Solo 
QB Cordeiro, Chevan 
RB/WR Turner Jr., Calvin 
RB Hunter, Dae Dae 

Statistical Leaders (Stats)

San Jose State Spartans
Passing: N. Starkel (702)
Rushing: T. Nevens (149)
Receiving: D. Deese (135)
Touchdowns: T. Nevens (2)
Sacks: V. Fehoko (1)
Tackles: T. Jenkins (10)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Passing: C. Cordeiro (891)
Rushing: D. Hunter (161)
Receiving: N. Mardner (242)
Touchdowns: C. Turner (3)
Sacks: O. Baker (2)
Tackles: K. Bethley (11)
San Jose State Spartans: Brent Brennan (5th season)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: Todd Graham (2nd season)

Weather Forecast

79 degrees F cloudy, 58% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 17 mph wind speeds SW.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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