San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Aug 21, 2023
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 21, 2023
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +114, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +114, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +114, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

San Francisco Giants:  65-59 (2nd place, NL West)
Philadelphia Phillies:  67-57 (2nd place, NL East)

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Recent Form
San Francisco Giants:  3-7 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10



San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis


The Giants are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-59 record overall and have a road record of 30-31. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .701 OPS. Scott Alexander is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Kyle Harrison is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He has never made an appearance in the MLB in his career so this will be his MLB debut as a starter.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-57 record overall and have a home record of 34-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Monday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 13-5 with a 4.03 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 6 BB with 2 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.


Giants vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been fighting to keep their Wild Card spot in the NL and they have been playing well lately. They have been a lot better in their home games this season while the Giants have a losing record in their road games and are going to struggle in this series. The Phillies have a better offense than the Giants as they put up a lot more runs in their games but the Giants also have a rookie starter here who will be making his MLB debut in this game. The Phillies will be sure to get after this debutant in this home game while the Phillies are going with Walker on the mound and he has been a really reliable starter all season as he leads the Phillies in wins. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Giants Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 21, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Giants 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


San Francisco Giants: 23-20 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 8-2 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 6 runs or more. 9-2 UNDER after allowing 9 runs or more. 22-15 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Philadelphia Phillies: 26-29 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 12-16 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games. 39-24 UNDER after a win. 17-7 UNDER after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games.

Key Injuries


San Francisco Giants:  T. Estrada (SS) Ques Mon - Hand. L. Wade Jr. (LF) Ques Mon - Back. B. Crawford (SS) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Stripling (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Mathias (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow. M. Haniger (RF) Early Sept - Forearm. M. Yastrzemski (RF) Late Aug - Hamstring. J. Brebbia (RP) Late Aug - Back. A. Pollock (DH) Early Sept - Oblique. C. Waites (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Late Aug - Elbow. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“It wasn't the prettiest game, but we'll take it. That is a good road win against a very good team.” - Gabe Kapler after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Sunday.


“We've just got to dust ourselves off and get after it. It is a big series. We win that series and you put some distance between yourself and San Francisco.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


San Francisco Giants
Austin Slater (R) CF
Thairo Estrada (R) 2B
Wilmer Flores (R) 1B
Patrick Bailey (S) C
J.D. Davis (R) DH
Heliot Ramos (R) RF
Luis Matos (R) LF
Johan Camargo (S) SS
Casey Schmitt (R) 3B

Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Jake Cave (L) LF
Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Statistical Leaders


San Francisco Giants
Batting Average:  Wilmer Flores (.301)
Hits:  J.D. Davis (96)
Home Runs:  Wilmer Flores (17)
RBI:  J.D. Davis (57)
Stolen Bases:  Thairo Estrada (18)
Wins:  Logan Webb (9)
Saves:  Camilo Doval (33)
ERA:  Mauricio Llovera (1.69)

Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Weston Wilson (.333)
Hits:  Nick Castellanos (135)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (32)
RBI:  Nick Castellanos (78)
Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)
Wins:  Taijuan Walker (13)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (19)
ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Managers:
San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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