by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jun 29, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, June 30, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: SNY
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Giants -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Giants -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Giants -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
San Francisco Giants: 45-35 (2nd place, NL West)
New York Mets: 36-44 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
San Francisco Giants: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 3-7 last 10
San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Giants entered their last series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1. They enter this game with a 45-35 record overall and have a road record of 22-16. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Thursday. They also won the series opener of that series on Tuesday but lost the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Rookie pitcher Keaton Winn is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Alex Cobb is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-2 with a 3.09 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 4 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.
The Mets entered their last series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1. They enter this game with a 36-44 record overall and have a home record of 18-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Friday with the 4th game of their series against the Milwaukee Brewers still to be played on Thursday. They also won the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday but lost the 1st and 3rd games on Monday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-3 with a 6.19 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Giants vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants have been rolling this year with one of the best offenses in the league and they are in 2nd place of the NL West at the moment, trying to chase down the D-Backs in 1st place. The Mets have been a struggling mess all season though as they are under .500 and in 4th place of their division, their offense not doing that well either. The Giants will have a great opportunity in this series to take advantage of the struggling Mets, and they definitely have the better pitching matchup in this game. Cobb is on the mound for the Giants and he has been pitching well this season, not giving up many runs in any of his starts. Meanwhile, the Mets offense has already struggled enough to put up runs and they will have a tough time getting to Cobb here. The Mets also have Carrasco on the mound and he has been really up and down this season with some really bad starts under his belt. The hot Giants offense will be able to get after Carrasco here and they will bury the Mets in runs while Cobb shuts the Mets lineup down. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to win this game.
Giants Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 30, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Giants 9 Mets 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Francisco Giants: 22-14 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 26-13 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-5 UNDER against NL East opponents. ALEX COBB is 10-4 UNDER in all games.
New York Mets: 36-44 (-22.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-17 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 10-1 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 22-12 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
San Francisco Giants: T. Beck (SP) Ques Thurs - Thumb. M. Conforto (LF) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. L. Jackson (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Yastrzemski (RF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Haniger (RF) Late Aug - Forearm. S. Alexander (RP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Cobb (SP) Early July - Oblique. J. Brebbia (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Ramos (LF) Late July - Oblique. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder. L. Gonzalez (CF) Mid July - Back.
New York Mets: E. Hernandez (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“He went up against the wall, pushed off to throw, felt a little something. Right now it’s day-to-day.” - Gabe Kapler on Michael Conforto after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.
“We’ve had trouble putting all phases of the game together.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
San Francisco Giants
LaMonte Wade Jr. (L) 1B
Thairo Estrada (R) 2B
J.D. Davis (R) 3B
Joc Pederson (L) DH
Patrick Bailey (S) C
Michael Conforto (L) RF
Luis Matos (R) CF
Blake Sabol (L) LF
Casey Schmitt (R) SS
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Canha (R) DH
Danny Mendick (R) 2B
Statistical Leaders
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average: Austin Slater (.391)
Hits: Thairo Estrada (76)
Home Runs: Michael Conforto (12)
RBI: J.D. Davis (44)
Stolen Bases: Thairo Estrada (18)
Wins: Logan Webb (7)
Saves: Camilo Doval (23)
ERA: Tyler Rogers (1.79)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (86)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (24)
RBI: Pete Alonso (55)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (21)
Wins: Max Scherzer (7)
Saves: David Robertson (11)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
