San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/12/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 9:07 pm ET, Tuesday, October 12, 2021
Venue:  Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +155, Dodgers -180; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +160, Dodgers -180; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +145, Dodgers -175; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

San Francisco Giants:  107-55 (1st place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers:  106-56 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Francisco Giants:  8-2 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers:  9-1 last 10
 
 
 

San Francisco Giants Analysis

The Giants are coming into this game after losing game 2 of this series 9-2. The series is tied 1-1 heading back to LA with game 3 of this NLDS still to be played on Monday night, that result is pending. This will be game 4 of this series on Tuesday night and it will be an elimination game for one of these teams. The Giants have won 2 of their last 3 and 9 of their last 11 games with game 3 pending still. Logan Webb was the starter in game 1, Kevin Gausman in game 2, Alex Wood is getting the nod for game 3 so it will likely be Anthony DeSclafani who is the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Tuesday. He is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA this season. He was credited with the win in his last start and his team has won 5 of their last 6 games with him on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the San Diego Padres back on Friday, October 1. He has seen the Dodgers lineup 6 times during the regular season and he is 0-3 against them while his team is 3-3 against them with him starting. He has had some bad games against the Dodgers this season but he did not allow a single run through 6 innings in his last start against them. This will be his first ever postseason start as he has never played in the playoffs before at all. Their offense has scored 22 runs in their last 5 games averaging a little over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 16 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 runs per game.
 

Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis

The Dodgers are coming into this game after winning game 2 9-2 and tying up the series going back home for the next 2 games. Game 3 of this series on Monday is still to be played with that result pending. This will be game 4 of this best-of-five series played on Tuesday. The Dodgers are coming into this game after winning 9 of their last 10 games, with game 3 pending, their 1 loss coming in game 1 of this series. Walker Buehler was the starter in game 1, Julio Urias in game 2, and Max Scherzer in game 3 so Tony Gonsolin will likely be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-1 with a 3.23 ERA this season. He has not started in many games this season but he has been credited with 3 straight wins and his team has won their last 4 games with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 of them being homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.2 innings of work against the Padres back on Thursday, September 30. He has seen the Giants lineup 1 time this season and he is 0-1 against the. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in that game only making it to the 4th inning. He has played in 4 postseason games in his career, all of them were last year and 3 of those games he started in while the other he came out of the bullpen as a reliever. The most he allowed in a single game was 3 runs but he only played 2 innings in most of those games. The Dodgers offense has scored 12 runs in their last 3 games averaging 4 runs scored per game and they have allowed their opponents to score 7 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 2 runs per game.
 

 

Giants vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers have the advantage in this one with the pitching matchup as DeSclafani has not done well against them this season and there is a big possibility that Gonsolin serves more as an opener in this game while the bullpen takes over for them. The Dodgers scored 9 runs in game 2 of this series and have finally been hitting the ball well. They have the pitching and the hitters to win this game. The best bet to place in this game is on the Dodgers to win.
 
Giants Dodgers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, October 12, 2021 (9:07 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Giants 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Francisco Giants: 33-23 (+19.2 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 108-56 (+46.1 units) on the money line in all games. 53-28 (+27.9 units) on the money line in road games. 
Los Angeles Dodgers: 71-82 O/U as a favorite of -110 or higher. 73-83 O/U in all games. 36-42 O/U in home games. 
 

Key Injuries

 
San Francisco Giants:  S. Kazmir (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring injury. T. Watson (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. T. Beede (SP) out for season - Back injury. D. Nunez (SP) out for season - Elbow injury.
Los Angeles Dodgers:  M. Muncy (1B) Late Oct - Elbow injury. C. Kershaw (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. D. Duffy (SP) Mid Oct - Hip injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
San Francisco Giants: Brandon Crawford is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in hits and in RBI this season and he played well in game 2. He had another 2 hits and 1 RBI in that game even though his team lost 9-2. Look for him to keep playing weel in this game and throughout the series as he keeps racking those numbers up.
 
Los Angeles Dodgers: Trea Turner is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in batting average, hits, and in stolen bases this season. He had a good performance in game 2 with 1 hit and 1 run scored in that game. He is a very dangerous baserunner and will find ways to score so look for him to have another good game here.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Obviously looking forward to turning the page on tonight's game and getting ready for Los Angeles. It wasn't our best effort tonight. Dodgers just swung the bats better than us, made more pitches than us, made more plays than us. So as we've done all season long, we'll turn the page and get ready for an off day, an off day of preparation and get ready for Game 3." - Gabe Kapler after losing game 2 of this series.
 
 
 
"It's a good feeling. It's interesting how the narrative changes from game to game. Right now, it's a three-game series, we have home-field advantage and we have Max on the mound. I like where we're at." - Dave Roberts after winning game 2 heading back to LA with the series tied 1-1.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Francisco Giants
D. Ruf LF
K. Bryant CF
A. Slater RF
B. Posey C
W. Flores 1B
B. Crawford SS
E. Longoria 3B
D. Solano 2B
K. Gausman P
 
Los Angeles Dodgers
M. Betts RF
C. Seager SS
T. Turner 2B
J. Turner 3B
W. Smith C
C. Taylor CF
C. Bellinger 1B
A. Pollock LF
J. Urias P

Statistical Leaders

 
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average:  B. Posey (.304)
Hits:  B. Crawford (144)
Home Runs:  K. Bryant (25)
RBI:  B. Crawford (90)
Stolen Bases:  A. Slater (15)
Wins:  K. Gausman (14)
Saves:  J. McGee (31)
ERA:  K. Castro (0.00)
 
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  T. Turner (.328)
Hits:  T. Turner (195)
Home Runs:  M. Muncy (36)
RBI:  M. Muncy (94)
Stolen Bases:  T. Turner (32)
Wins:  J. Urias (20)
Saves:  K. Jansen (38)
ERA:  J. Nelson (1.86)
 
Managers:
San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (6th season)
 

Weather Forecast

61 degrees F sunny, 19% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 8 mph wind speeds NW.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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