San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/21/2022

by James Q

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/21/2022

Game Time: 8:45 pm ET, Wednesday, September, 21st, 2022
Venue: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Where to Watch: 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline: Giants -135, Rockies +115; O/U 10.5
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

Season Record

Giants: 70-77, 3rd place NL West
Rockies: 64-83, 5th place NL West

Game 1 of this series  helped me take the sting off my lumps from Week 2 of the NFL.  As predicted the Giants won Game 1 on the moneyline.  Nice returns.  This prediction focuses on Wednesday Night’s Giants/D-Backs matchup.  The reason I like betting on MLB games between nobodies near the end of the season… They are remarkably consistent in the pitching matchup!  The Great betting can be found in actually trusting the numbers instead of expecting one or the other team to defy the numbers.  Let’s check the pitching and make a great Game 3 prediction.

Another National League West beetle of “also-rans”.  These are both losing teams playing in high altitude that has a tendency to make the ball fly.  The NL West games are the best to bet on in the MLB this season.  First, it has been terribly reliable.  Second and most importantly… the games play last… They are late night games on the East Coast and evening games on the west coast.. Meaning after a day of betting football or College or AL East games (Yankees, Sox) you can sit back and see if the West coast will supply relief from your losses or a cherry on your sundae!  The Great Betting Opportunity here is knowing just how bad the Rockies pitching is… and just how bad the Giants are struggling.  The numbers tend to bear out when these teams play… The pitching matchup will be a big deal.  Let’s check the numbers and make a bet.

The San Francisco Giants have won 4 of their last 10 games.  They will come into this game against the horrendous Rockies pitching after just having been kicked around by the Los Angeles Dodgers.  They will be pent up and ready to swing at meatballs!  Do they have enough guys to make redemption possible?... Their injury list is loaded with names from last season’s  100+ win team.Important guys like Brandon Belt, Welker, LaStella, Slater…. It goes on and on. They went 0-2 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, 2-1 against the Atlanta Braves, 1-2 against the Chicago Cubs, and 0-2 against the Milwaukee Brewers during that stretch.

The Colorado Rockies have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They are victims of a bad pitching rotation.  The batting lineup averages out to a top ten team… they hit the ball and score runs.. But on the other end they give up a lot of both hits and runs.  The Denver air is thin because of the high altitude… balls tend to fly off the bat… the Rockies have a roster obnoxiously built for hitting when the only thing they should be worrying about is pitching.  If you have a home field batting advantage… pitching, pitching, pitching should be the name of the game.  They went 2-2 against the Chicago Cubs, 2-1 against the Arizona Cardinals, and 2-1 against the Milwaukee Brewers.  It has been a good stretch for a last place team.

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San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Review and Analysis

Recent Form  

Offensive Analysis

The San Francisco Giants are 14th in scoring with 4.41, 24th in batting average with .232, and 15th in OBP with .315.

The Colorado Rockies are 12th in scoring with 4.44 runs per game, 6th in batting average with .256, and 8th in OBP with .318.

Defensive Analysis

The San Francisco Giants pitchers are 11th in ERA with 3.89, 16th in WHIP with 1.28, and their fielders are 26th in errors with 88 on the season so far.

The Colorado Rockies pitchers are 29th in ERA with 5.03, 29th in WHIP with 1.44, and the fielders are 26th in errors with 91 so far on the season.

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Our prediction for Wednesday, September 21st is…  Giants 5 - Rockies 4

The absolute best part of this lame duck pitching matchup is we do not have to pick a winner.  We don’t.  Vegas has done us a favor and set the O/U at 10.5… They did this because of the thin air in Denver and the mid-level pitching that will take the mound. A 10-7 finish in game 1 is another good example why… However,  If you go back over the Giants/Rockies all season?… getting 11 runs is the exception not the rule.  The easy bet here is for the UNDER.  Bet the Under and no matter who is at bat you can root for routine grounders and pop-ups.  

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MLB Betting Trends

(will update)

Key Injuries 

Giants:  C A Wynns (head) Quest ** LF A Slater (finger) Out ** 1B B Belt (knee) Out ** 3B C Welker (shoulder) Out 

Rockies: SS J Iglesias Out ** LF K Bryant (foot) Out ** 

Players to Watch 

Giants: RHP  Logan Webb, 13-9, 3.02 ERA, 151 strikeouts in 182 innings pitched.  1.19 WHIP.  This 25 year old will get some Rockies out early.

Rockies: RHP German Marquez, 8-11, 5.14 ERA, 130 strikeouts in 164 innings pitched.  1.38 WHIP.  “Marquee” is not having a good season… and he will be the weak link in the prediction.   However he is pitching a Giants roster that is depleted of some of their best hitters for the rest of the season.

Starting Lineups

Giants: CF Lewis Brinson, 2B Wilmer Flores, DH JD Davis, 3B Evan Longoria, 1B David Villar, SS Thairo Estrada, C Joey Bart, LF Austin Dean, RF Luis Gonzalez

Rockies: 2B Ryan McMahon, CF Yonathan Dazam 1B CJ Cron, DH Charlie Blackmon, C Elias Diaz, RF Michael Toglia, 3B Elehuris Montero, LF Sean Bouchard, SS Alan Trejo


Giants: Gabe “How bout these eyebrows” Kapler
Rockies: Bud “still last place” Black

Weather Forecast 

Mostly Sunny, 90*, Humidity 19%... It will cool down with nightfall… but not too much.  Wind 8 mph.  Beware the powerful moose that roam the streets looking to stomp anyone.

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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