San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 05, 2024
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 6, 2024
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +110, Guardians -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +110, Guardians -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +110, Guardians -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

San Francisco Giants:  43-45 (4th place, NL West)
Cleveland Guardians:  54-31 (1st place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
San Francisco Giants:  7-3 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10



San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Giants are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-45 record overall and have a road record of 18-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Rookie pitcher Erik Miller is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kyle Harrison is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 6.1 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-31 record overall and have a home record of 28-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Tanner Bibee is their starting pitcher on Friday while Logan Allen is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-4 with a 5.75 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.


Giants vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-45 record overall which has them out of the playoff race at the moment. They haven't looked good in their road games either, going 18-26 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked really good in their games this season with their 54-31 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 28-10 home record. The Guardians have been great all season, but they haven't looked great in their games lately as they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Giants have been getting hot with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, and they also have a more favorable pitching matchup in this game. Harrison is on the mound for the Giants and he is 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA. The team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. Now that the Giants are putting up runs, he is bound to turn things around with some wins since he has been pitching so well. The Guardians are going to have Allen starting who is 8-4 with a 5.75 ERA. The Guardians have won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he still gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him this year. He is going to give up runs with the Giants offense hitting a lot better now and the Giants have the momentum from beating some good teams over the last week while the Guardians haven't been at their best. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to win this game. 

Giants Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 6, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Giants 6 Guardians 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


San Francisco Giants: 15-18 (-6.40 units) on the runline in their last 33 games. 32-54 (-18.55 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 86 games. 34-23 to the over in their last 57 games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 54-32 (+15.77 units) on the moneyline in their last 86 games. 47-39 (+13.30 units) on the runline in their last 86 games. 23-11 to the over with their team total in their last 34 home games. 

Key Injuries


San Francisco Giants:  K. Winn (RP) - Elbow. M. Yastrzemski (RF) - Side. K. Harrison (SP) - Ankle. B. Snell (SP) - Groin. L. Wade (1B) - Hamstring. J. Lee (CF) - Labrum. T. Murphy (C) - Head. A. Cobb (SP) - Hip. E. Small (SP) - Oblique. T. Beck (RP) - Arm. A. Warren (RP) - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  N. Sandlin (RP) - Back. E. Morgan (RP) - Elbow. G. Williams (SP) - Elbow. S. Bieber (SP) - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It's an awesome atmosphere, an awesome stadium.” - Logan Webb after their win against the Braves in their game on Thursday.


“Kwannie just continues to dazzle.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


San Francisco Giants
J Soler (R) DH
L Wade Jr. (L) 1B
H Ramos (R) CF
P Bailey (S) C
M Chapman (R) 3B
M Conforto (L) LF
M Yastrzemski (L) RF
B Wisely (L) 2B
N Ahmed (R) SS

Cleveland Guardians
S Kwan (L) LF
A Martínez (S) CF
J Ramírez (S) DH
J Naylor (L) 1B
J Noel (R) RF
A Gimenez (L) 2B
G Arias (R) 3B
B Naylor (L) C
B Rocchio (S) SS

Statistical Leaders


San Francisco Giants
Batting Average:  Marco Luciano (.375)
Hits:  Matt Chapman (80)
Home Runs:  Matt Chapman (12)
RBI:  Matt Chapman (42)
Stolen Bases:  Matt Chapman (7)
Wins:  Logan Webb (7)
Saves:  Camilo Doval (16)
ERA:  Ryan Walker (2.05)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.367)
Hits:  José Ramírez (90)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)
RBI:  José Ramírez (76)
Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (16)
Wins:  Logan Allen (8)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (25)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:
San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (1st season)
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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