San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Giants -130, Reds +110; Over/Under:  11 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Giants -130, Reds +110; Over/Under:  11 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Giants -130, Reds +110; Over/Under:  11 runs

San Francisco Giants:  52-41 (2nd place, NL West)

Cincinnati Reds:  50-44 (2nd place, NL Central)

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San Francisco Giants:  6-4 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  5-5 last 10

The Giants are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-41 record overall and have a road record of 26-19. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday and the series opener from Monday still to be finished on Tuesday after getting suspended in the middle of the game. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Anthony DeSclafani is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ross Stripling is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 4.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Reds are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-44 record overall and have a home record of 23-24. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Giants on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday and the 1st game from Monday still to be finished on Tuesday after getting suspended in the middle of the game. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Luke Weaver is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-7 with a 5.95 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants have been playing great all season, they did go through a bit of a slump when they slipped down to 3rd place in the division but now they are back in 2nd place and will be looking to catch the Dodgers for the lead of the NL West. The Giants have been rolling lately with a really good offense that has been putting up a ton of runs in their games and they have also been a money machine in road games over the last few years. They do have Stripling on the mound here who has struggled in a lot of his starts this season, but he did pitch well in his last outing and should be able to continue that here since the Reds offense has been cooling off now that the team is regressing as a whole. The Reds also have their own gas can on the mound here with Ashcraft starting since he has also been giving up a ton of runs in his starts and the Reds bullpen hasn't been that great this season either so they are going to struggle to keep this hot Giants offense off the board here. The Reds have also been leaning on their hot offense to win a lot of their games lately and with their offense now cooling off, they are going to struggle to win games once again just like they were at the start of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to win this game.

Giants Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 19, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Giants 8 Reds 5.

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San Francisco Giants: 27-14 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 26-17 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 16-7 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. ROSS STRIPLING is 5-2 OVER in all games. 

Cincinnati Reds: 195-223 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 100-109 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 20-10 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher. 15-7 OVER at home when the total is 10 or higher.

San Francisco Giants:  L. Gonzalez (CF) Early Aug - Back. T. Estrada (SS) Mid Aug - Wrist. A. DeSclafani (SP) Prob Tues - Shoulder. L. Jackson (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Haniger (RF) Late Aug - Forearm. J. Brebbia (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Ramos (LF) Late July - Oblique. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  K. Newman (2B) Out indefinitely - Stomach. V. Gutierrez (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Late July - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Late July - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I think it speaks to the club's resilience, which is something we've been talking about for several years here. I think that's still the true character of this team. I think it speaks to an unselfish, team-first mentality that was really the key to our season in 2021. You're starting to see signals of that over the course of the last several months.” - Gabe Kapler after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“You just move on. It was a tough series. They played us tough back in Milwaukee too. You can't make too much of it. We will get back on track.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.

Austin Slater (R) LF

Wilmer Flores (R) 1B

Michael Conforto (L) DH

J.D. Davis (R) 3B

Patrick Bailey (S) C

Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF

Luis Matos (R) CF

Casey Schmitt (R) SS

Brett Wisely (L) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jake Fraley (L) RF

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Will Benson (L) LF

Batting Average:  Austin Slater (.333)

Hits:  Thairo Estrada (79)

Home Runs:  Michael Conforto (13)

RBI:  Michael Conforto (49)

Stolen Bases:  Thairo Estrada (18)

Wins:  Logan Webb (8)

Saves:  Camilo Doval (28)

ERA:  Mauricio Llovera (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.300)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (91)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (54)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (16)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (26)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)