San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/17/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Monday, July 17, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Giants -155, Reds +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Giants -155, Reds +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Giants -155, Reds +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

San Francisco Giants:  51-41 (3rd place, NL West)

Cincinnati Reds:  50-43 (2nd place, NL Central)

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San Francisco Giants:  5-5 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10

The Giants entered their last series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1. They enter this game with a 51-41 record overall and have a road record of 25-19. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Reds on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates still to be played on Sunday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Alex Wood is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Logan Webb is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 8-7 with a 3.14 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 7 hits through 9 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Reds entered their last series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1. They enter this game with a 50-43 record overall and have a home record of 23-23. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Giants on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Milwaukee Brewers still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Ben Lively is their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Brandon Williamson is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 1-2 with a 5.21 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 1 hit through 3 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants have been rolling in their games lately, they have already been having a good season with a record 10 games over .500 but now they have been getting hot again as they look to catch the Diamondbacks and the Dodgers in front of them in the NL West. The Reds have also been having a good season but a lot of that is because of a huge run they went on just before the All-Star break which launched them into 1st place of the NL Central. They started to slip up going into the break though and they have been in a slump since then as they haven't been great in their games coming out of the break. They are finally regressing after their long run and even their offense has been cooling off now which was carrying their team during that run since their pitching hasn't been good all season. They also have rookie Williamson on the mound here and even though he is coming off a good start in his last one, he hasn't been great in most of his starts this season and he will give up some runs along with the Reds bullpen against this really hot Giants offense. The Giants also have Webb starting for them and he has been a stud on the mound all season, he will shut down this cooling off Reds lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to win this game.

Giants Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 17, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Giants 6 Reds 2.

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San Francisco Giants: 51-41 (+5.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-17 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 15-7 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 

Cincinnati Reds: 195-222 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 100-108 (-14.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 30-50 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents.

San Francisco Giants:  L. Gonzalez (CF) Early Aug - Back. T. Estrada (SS) Mid Aug - Wrist. A. DeSclafani (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Jackson (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Haniger (RF) Late Aug - Forearm. J. Brebbia (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Ramos (LF) Late July - Oblique. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  V. Gutierrez (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Late July - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Late July - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“When it’s a well-pitched game, it usually comes down to one big hit and Conforto got it for us and then obviously some very good baserunning on the play. It’s one of the toughest at-bats in baseball (facing Bednar). It might be the toughest in some ways.” - Gabe Kapler after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Saturday.

“Peralta, tonight, did a nice job of pitching backwards. He got ahead with his offspeed pitches. He had a really good fastball, slider. He was able to mix in the changeup.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Saturday.

LaMonte Wade Jr. (L) 1B

Joc Pederson (L) DH

J.D. Davis (R) 3B

Michael Conforto (L) RF

Mike Yastrzemski (L) CF

Patrick Bailey (S) C

Blake Sabol (L) LF

Brandon Crawford (L) SS

Brett Wisely (L) 2B

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jake Fraley (L) RF

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Will Benson (L) DH

Luke Maile (R) C

Batting Average:  Austin Slater (.337)

Hits:  Thairo Estrada (79)

Home Runs:  Michael Conforto (13)

RBI:  Michael Conforto (47)

Stolen Bases:  Thairo Estrada (18)

Wins:  Logan Webb (8)

Saves:  Camilo Doval (28)

ERA:  Mauricio Llovera (0.00)

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.306)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (90)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (52)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (16)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (26)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)