San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/04/2024

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Thursday, July 4, 2024

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Giants +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

San Francisco Giants:  42-44 (4th place, NL West)

Atlanta Braves:  46-37 (2nd place, NL East)

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San Francisco Giants:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

The Giants are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-44 record overall and have a road record of 17-25. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Giants won the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Jordan Hicks is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Webb is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-6 with a 3.12 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-37 record overall and have a home record of 26-15. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-4 with a 3.89 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 46-37 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and chasing the Phillies in 1st place. They have looked a lot better in their home games though, going 26-15 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Giants haven't looked great in their games this season with their 42-44 record overall which has them lower in the NL West and struggling to get into the playoff race. They have looked terrible in their road games too, going 17-25 in their road games. They managed to take the 1st game of this series from the Braves, but the Braves do have the better pitching matchup with their starter. Morton is on the mound for the Braves here and he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He is 5-4 with a 3.89 ERA this season and he gave up no runs in his last start too. The team has also been playing better with him on the mound, winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, and they have been a much better team at home this season too. The Giants are going with Webb here and he hasn't been bad with his 6-6 record and his 3.12 ERA this year, but the team has struggled to win games with him starting. He has already racked up 6 losses himself and the team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but the Braves will find ways to put runs up at home where their offense has been better and the Giants have been much worse in their road games this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Giants Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 4, 2024 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Giants 2.

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San Francisco Giants: 13-18 (-8.40 units) on the runline in their last 31 games. 30-54 (-21.05 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 84 games. 

Atlanta Braves: 9-3 (+3.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 11 games. 25-10 to the under in their last 35 home games. 26-13 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 39 games.

San Francisco Giants:  K. Winn (RP) - Elbow. M. Yastrzemski (RF) - Side. K. Harrison (SP) - Ankle. B. Snell (SP) - Groin. L. Wade (1B) - Hamstring. J. Lee (CF) - Labrum. T. Murphy (C) - Head. A. Cobb (SP) - Hip. E. Small (SP) - Oblique. T. Beck (RP) - Arm. A. Warren (RP) - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.

“(Soler) loves hitting leadoff. He’s done a good job. He had pretty good matchup numbers against (López). You’re seeing a little less chase and a guy that takes some pitches and takes some walks and in the meantime hits some home runs.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.

"Not too often a first-inning solo homer wins a game, but it happens. We just got to keep plugging away, keep doing our thing. It's not early anymore, by any means, but we still know what we have to do, and we've just got to keep playing good baseball and not get too down when it's not good and not get too up when it is." - Chris Sale after his last start.

J Soler (R) DH

L Wade Jr. (L) 1B

H Ramos (R) CF

P Bailey (S) C

M Chapman (R) 3B

M Conforto (L) LF

B Wisely (L) 2B

M Yastrzemski (L) RF

N Ahmed (R) SS

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

A Riley (R) 3B

S Murphy (R) C

A Duvall (R) RF

F Wall (L) LF

Z Short (R) SS

Batting Average:  Marco Luciano (.375)

Hits:  Matt Chapman (76)

Home Runs:  Matt Chapman (11)

RBI:  Matt Chapman (39)

Stolen Bases:  Matt Chapman (7)

Wins:  Logan Webb (6)

Saves:  Camilo Doval (15)

ERA:  Ryan Walker (2.05)

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.296)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (91)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (21)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (67)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (10)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (20)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Managers:

San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (1st season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)