San Francisco Dons vs Saint Mary's Gaels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/20/2024

Game Time: 11:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Venue:  University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  San Francisco +8, Saint Mary’s -8; Over/Under:  132.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  San Francisco +8, Saint Mary’s -8; Over/Under:  132.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  San Francisco +8, Saint Mary’s -8; Over/Under:  132.5 points

San Francisco Dons:  20-6 (9-2) (2nd place, WCC)

Saint Mary's Gaels:  21-6 (12-0) (1st place, WCC)

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San Francisco Dons:  5-0  last 5

Saint Mary's Gaels:  5-0  last 5

San Francisco is entering this game with a 21-6 record overall, a 10-2 record in conference games, and they are 6-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Loyola Marymount Lions in their last game. Ndewedo Newbury led the team in points per game in that game with 16 while Marcus Williams was next on the team with 14. Marcus Williams led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Marcus Williams led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 54.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65 PPG against them. San Francisco has an ATS record of 15-11 this season and their O/U record is 13-13.

Saint Mary’s is entering this game with a 21-6 record overall, a 12-0 conference record, and they are 12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Pepperdine Waves in their last game. Augustas Marčiulionis led the team in points in that game with 28 while Alex Ducas was next on the team with 18. Augustas Marčiulionis led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Aidan Mahaney and Harry Wessels each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 61.8% from the field, 63.2% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 57.7 PPG against them. Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 14-12 this season and their O/U record is 13-13.

The current betting odds have Saint Mary's listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Mary's has looked great in their games this season with their 21-6 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They didn't have a nice start to the season in their non-conference games, but they have looked a lot better since entering conference play. They have a 12-0 conference record this season which leads the WCC and they have also been great on their home court with their 12-3 home record. Meanwhile, San Francisco has also looked good in their games this season with their 21-6 record overall and their 10-2 conference record which has them in 2nd place of the conference right now. They have also looked good in their road games with their 6-3 road record. Both of these teams have looked great in the WCC this season and have been great in their games lately, but Saint Mary's has been a lot stronger in the WCC all season. They have been rolling over teams in most of their conference games as they look to retake the WCC this year and they already beat San Francisco by double digits on the road earlier this season so Saint Mary's will be looking to do the same on their home court here. The best way to place a bet here is on Saint Mary's to cover the spread in this game.

San Francisco Saint Mary's Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 20, 2024 (11:00 pm ET start time) is Saint Mary’s 79 San Francisco 62.

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San Francisco Dons: 5-12 ATS off a road win. 7-13 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins. 3-6 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more. 11-4 UNDER as a road underdog or pick. 16-8 UNDER off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival. 8-4 UNDER after a game committing 8 or less turnovers.

Saint Mary's Gaels: 27-16 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 8-4 ATS against conference opponents. 20-6 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. 46-25 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals. 18-7 UNDER after 10 or more consecutive wins. 

San Francisco Dons:  None.

Saint Mary's Gaels:  J. Jefferson (F) Ques Tues - Leg.

“Our guys really dug into what the game plan was, embraced that, and executed pretty well for a full 40 minutes.” - Chris Gerlufsen after his team’s win against LMU in their last game on Saturday.

“We eventually wore them down and got a little separation. Once you do, the basket gets a little bigger for us and a little smaller for them. I just think we wore them down. That halfcourt shot at half helped. We were in a pretty good position. But it took us a while to get to that position. Then going in up 16 helped us a lot.” - Randy Bennett after his team’s win against Pepperdine in their last game on Thursday.

J. Mogbo 

N. Newbury 

M. Sharavjamts 

M. Thomas 

M. Williams

A. Ducas 

J. Jefferson 

A. Mahaney 

A. Marciulionis 

M. Saxen

PPG: J. Mogbo (15.2)

APG: M. Williams (3.6)

Reb/G: J. Mogbo (10.5)

PPG: A. Mahaney (14)

APG: A. Marciulionis (4.7)

Reb/G: M. Saxen (7.4)

Coaches:

San Francisco Dons: Chris Gerlufsen (2nd season)

Saint Mary's Gaels: Randy Bennett (23rd season)