by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 05, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 10, 2024
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: 49ers -6, Buccaneers +6; Over/Under: 50 points
Bet365: Point Spread: 49ers -6, Buccaneers +6; Over/Under: 50 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: 49ers -6, Buccaneers +6; Over/Under: 50 points
Season Record
San Francisco 49ers: 4-4 (3rd place, NFC West)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-5 (2nd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
San Francisco 49ers: won their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 30-24.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 30-24 in overtime.
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis
The 49ers are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 30-24. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 260 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Isaac Guerendo led the team in rushing yards with 85 and 1 TD. George Kittle led the receivers with 128 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. De'Vondre Campbell Sr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Nick Bosa and Sam Okuayinonu each led the defense in sacks with 1. Deommodore Lenoir and Ji'Ayir Brown each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 30-24 in OT. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 23/31 passes for 200 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bucky Irving led the team in rushing yards with 24. Cade Otton led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Tykee Smith led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Vita Vea and Calijah Kancey each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
49ers vs Buccaneers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-5 record overall and they have been struggling lately as they deal with some key injuries on their team, but that record still has them in 2nd place of the NFC South and they are right in the thick of things. They are coming off a tight loss to the Chiefs in their last one, losing in OT on Monday night, but they looked really good in that game as they were right in it until the end and were able to move the ball against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Meanwhile, the 49ers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall, but that record has them right in the NFC West race which is really tight. They are coming out of their bye week too and will have some momentum from a win at home over the Cowboys in their last one, but they didn't look great in that win and this isn't going to be an easy game for them on the road with their 1-2 road record. The Bucs have looked impressive lately, even with all their injuries, and they are going to be desperate to bounce back at home against a 49ers team that has also been struggling this season and dealing with injuries themselves. The Buccaneers have the talent to win this game, but they can also keep this close in a loss. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game.
49ers Buccaneers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 10, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 31 49ers 27.
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NFL Betting Trends
San Francisco 49ers: 21-12 ATS against conference opponents. 8-4 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-3 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 18-8 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-6 OVER off a home win. 4-0 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-15 ATS in home games. 2-9 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 3-9 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 4-1 OVER off 3 or more consecutive overs. 8-4 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-2 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.
Key Injuries
San Francisco 49ers: None.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: J. McMillan (WR) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Winfield (SAF) Questionable - Foot. L. David (LB) Injured - Ankle. S. Shepard (WR) Questionable - Hamstring. W. Gholston (DL) Injured - Knee. M. Evans (WR) Out - Hamstring. B. Bredeson (G) Injured - Shoulder. G. Gaines (DL) Out - Calf. E. Deckers (LS) Out - Hamstring. B. Irving (RB) Questionable - Toe. T. Smith (SAF) Questionable - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“I saw the rest of our team was clicking and I just had to do my job. Third quarter, I came out and kept it simple, but also played aggressive.” - Brock Purdy after their win against the Cowboys in their last game.
“We’ve got guys who are not going to quit fighting to the end. I’m really proud of the group and the way everybody fought. We’ve just got to clean up some little stuff. And that’s what this league is all about.” - Sterling Shepard after their loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
San Francisco 49ers
WR Bell, Ronnie
WR Samuel Sr., Deebo
WR Pearsall, Ricky
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB Mason, Jordan
FB Juszczyk, Kyle
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Palmer, Trey
WR Jarrett, Rakim
WR Shepard, Sterling
TE Otton, Cade
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB White, Rachaad
Statistical Leaders
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (2101)
Rushing: J. Mason (685)
Receiving: G. Kittle (503)
Touchdowns: G. Kittle (6)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (2389)
Rushing: B. Irving (419)
Receiving: C. Godwin (576)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (6)
Coaches:
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (8th season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
