by Rod Pearson
Sunday, Apr 02, 2023
Game Time: 9:20 pm ET, Monday, April 3, 2023
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: SDSU +7.5, UConn -7.5; Over/Under: 132 points
Bet365: Point Spread: SDSU +7.5, UConn -7.5; Over/Under: 131.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: SDSU +7.5, UConn -7.5; Over/Under: 131.5 points
Season Record
San Diego State Aztecs: 32-6 (15-3) (1st place, MWC)
UConn Huskies: 30-8 (13-7) (4th place, Big East)
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Recent Form
San Diego State Aztecs: 5-0 last 5
UConn Huskies: 5-0 last 5
San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies Preview and Analysis
San Diego State is coming into this game with a 32-6 record overall and they are 9-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Wyoming Cowboys, the Colorado State Rams, the San Jose State Spartans, the Utah State Aggies, the College of Charleston Cougars, the Furman Paladins, the Alabama Crimson Tide, the Creighton Bluejays, and the FAU Owls in their last game. Matt Bradley led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jaedon LeDee was next on the team with 12 points. Lamont Butler led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Nathan Mensah, Matt Bradley, and Jaedon LeDee each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 43.9% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 59.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.1 PPG against them. San Diego State has an ATS record of 19-16-2 this season and their O/U record is 15-22.
UConn is coming into this game with a 30-8 record overall and they are 9-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Iona Gaels, the Saint Mary’s Gaels, the Arkansas Razorbacks, the Gonzaga Bulldogs, and the Miami Hurricanes in their last game. Adama Sanogo led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jordan Hawkins was next on the team with 13 points. Tristen Newton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Adama Sanogo led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.1% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 53.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.3 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 26-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 20-18.
San Diego State vs UConn Prediction
The current betting odds have San Diego State listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. San Diego State had a great season this year winning the Mountain West Conference during the regular season and winning the Conference Tournament too. They are 32-6 overall this season and have been really good in their neutral site games too as they are 9-3 in those. UConn has also been great this season with their 30-8 record overall and they have been better in their neutral site games with a 9-1 record in those, but they did not even win their conference nor did they win the Big East Tournament as they really struggled a lot in their conference this season. Both of these teams have been great defensively in this tournament and this will be another game that comes down to good defense which both can play well. San Diego State has had a very good run knocking out some big teams like the number 1 seed Alabama and they will be able to hang around in this game keeping it close like they have all tournament as this is just too many points here. The best way to place a bet here is on San Diego State to cover the spread in this game.
San Diego State UConn Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, April 3, 2023 (9:20 pm ET start time) is UConn 71 SDSU 68.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
San Diego State Aztecs: 3-8 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games. 1-5 ATS after 9 or more consecutive wins. 11-2 UNDER as an underdog. 16-7 UNDER in all neutral court games.
UConn Huskies: 26-12 ATS in all games. 9-1 ATS in all neutral court games. 10-4 UNDER when playing with one or less days rest. 19-9 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.
Key Injuries
San Diego State Aztecs: None.
UConn Huskies: None.
Notable Quotes
“I didn’t really know how big it was. We’re going to the national championship. That’s not things many people do.” - Lamont Butler after hitting the game winning shot in their win over FAU in the Final Four.
“They’re one of the best teams in the country. And I think it’s fitting that both of us kind of earned our way into this title game.” - Dan Hurley on SDSU after his team’s win against Miami-FL in the Final Four.
Starting Lineups
San Diego State Aztecs
M. Bradley
L. Butler
K. Johnson
N. Mensah
D. Trammell
UConn Huskies
J. Hawkins
A. Jackson
A. Karaban
T. Newton
A. Sanogo
Statistical Leaders
San Diego State Aztecs
PPG: M. Bradley (13)
APG: D. Trammell (3.6)
Reb/G: N. Mensah (5.8)
UConn Huskies
PPG: A. Sanogo (16.9)
APG: T. Newton (4.5)
Reb/G: A. Sanogo (7.2)
Coaches:
San Diego State Aztecs: Brian Dutcher (6th season)
UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
