San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/28/2024

Game Time: 7:39 pm ET, Thursday, March 28, 2024

Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  TBS, TruTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SDSU +11, UConn -11; Over/Under:  135.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SDSU +11, UConn -11; Over/Under:  135.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SDSU +10.5, UConn -10.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points

San Diego State Aztecs:  26-10 (11-7) (5th place, MWC)

UConn Huskies:  33-3 (18-2) (1st place, Big East)

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San Diego State Aztecs:  4-1  last 5

UConn Huskies:  5-0  last 5

San Diego State is entering this game with a 26-10 record overall, an 11-7 record in conference games, and they are 6-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Yale Bulldogs in their last game. Jaedon LeDee led the team in points per game in that game with 26 while Darrion Trammell was next on the team with 18. Darrion Trammell and Micah Parrish each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Jaedon LeDee led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.7% from the field, 48.1% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.2 PPG against them. San Diego State has an ATS record of 14-20 this season and their O/U record is 17-17.

UConn is entering this game with a 33-3 record overall, an 18-2 conference record, and they are 8-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Tristen Newton led the team in points in that game with 20 while Donovan Clingan was next on the team with 14. Tristen Newton led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Donovan Clingan led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 53.7% from the field, 13.6% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.9 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 24-12 this season and their O/U record is 16-19-1.

The current betting odds have UConn listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UConn has looked great in their games this season with their 33-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They have looked great in the Big East this season with their 18-2 conference record which leads the way and they also won their conference tournament. They have looked great in their neutral site games this year with their 8-0 record in those and they are also the defending champions of this tournament, looking to back-to-back this year. Meanwhile, San Diego State has also looked good in their games this season with their 26-10 record overall, but they weren't even the best team in their conference this season. They did look good in the MWC with their 11-7 conference record but they weren't the best team during the regular season and they didn't win their conference tournament either. They have looked great in their neutral site games with their 6-1 record in those, but they also haven't really been challenged in this tournament yet. They are coming off a big win against Yale in their last one but they struggled to beat UAB in the 1st round. UConn has also been rolling over their opponents lately and this is the same team that blew out SDSU in the finals last year. San Diego State has looked good so far but they aren't the same team as last year that went to the finals and they aren't going to be the team to give UConn trouble in this tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on UConn to cover the spread in this game. 

San Diego State UConn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 28, 2024 (7:39 pm ET start time) is UConn 87 SDSU 66.

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San Diego State Aztecs: 4-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. 7-13 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 8-18 ATS after playing a game as favorite. 12-6 UNDER as an underdog. 20-8 UNDER after a win by 15 points or more. 32-16 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

UConn Huskies: 24-12 ATS in all games. 24-11 ATS as a favorite. 11-4 ATS after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more. 10-5 UNDER after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. 22-13 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. 6-3 UNDER in all neutral court lined games.

San Diego State Aztecs:  None.

UConn Huskies:  None.

“We’re heading on the road to play a road game against UConn in Boston and I’ve got a group that I think will be up for the task.” - Brian Dutcher after his team’s win against Yale in their last game in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday.

“Just obviously impressed with the performance. Just really attacked them in the paint. Obviously, the injuries that they have sustained during the year changed the total complexion of that team.” - Dan Hurley after his team’s win against Northwestern in their last game in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday.

L. Butler 

R. Dixon-Waters 

J. Ledee 

M. Parrish 

E. Saunders

S. Castle 

D. Clingan 

A. Karaban 

T. Newton 

C. Spencer

PPG: J. Ledee (20.5)

APG: D. Trammell (3.2)

Reb/G: J. Ledee (8.2)

PPG: T. Newton (15)

APG: T. Newton (5.8)

Reb/G: T. Newton (7.1)

Coaches:

San Diego State Aztecs: Brian Dutcher (7th season)

UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (6th season)