Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, October 15, 2021
Venue: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: SDSU -8, SJSU +8; Over/Under: 43 points
Bet365: Point Spread: SDSU -8, SJSU +8; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: SDSU NL, SJSU NL; Over/Under: 43 points
San Diego State Aztecs: 5-0 (1st place, MW West)
San Jose State Spartans: 3-3 (3rd place, MW West)
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San Diego State Aztecs vs San Jose State Spartans Preview and Analysis
San Diego State Aztecs: won at home on Oct. 9 against the New Mexico Lobos 31-7.
San Jose State Spartans: lost on the road on Oct. 9 to the Colorado State Rams 32-14.
San Diego State Aztecs Analysis
SDSU is coming into this game with a 5-0 record overall and they are 1-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 2nd conference matchup of the year and they are already off to a good start with a 1-0 record in their conference games this season. That win came against New Mexico in their last game after winning 31-7. Jordon Brookshire played alright completing 11/24 passes for 130 yards but his performance was nothing to write home about. Greg Bell had a big day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 111 yards and 1 touchdown on 21 carries. Brookshire also ran in 2 touchdowns himself and had 45 yards on 5 carries in that game. Tyrell Shavers led the receivers with 39 yards on 2 receptions but overall, it was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. Dallas Branch led the defense with 5 solo tackles in that game. Jalil Lecky led the team in sacks with 1.5 and Caden McDonald also had 1 himself while Sefo Mailangi, Keshawn Banks, and Cameron Thomas all recorded 1/2 sacks in that one. It was Trenton Thompson who came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 178 points in their first 5 games averaging 35.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 83 points against them allowing 16.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 370.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 270.4 YPG.
San Jose State Spartans Analysis
SJSU is coming into this game with a 3-3 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. Their 1 win in the conference came a few weeks ago against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors while their loss came against CSU in their last game. They lost to CSU 32-14 in that game and never really had control of it as they fell behind early and trailed the entire game. Nick Nash played alright in that one but he also struggled at times as he completed 11/22 passes for 154 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Tyler Nevens led the team in rushing with 48 yards on 10 carries while Nash had 11 carries himself for 38 yards rushing. They did not have much of a run game in that one though. Isaiah Hamilton had a decent day as he led the team in receiving with 84 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions while Derrick Deese Jr. also had 4 receptions and 1 TD for 52 yards receiving. Kyle Harmon led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 10 assisted ones while Tre Jenkins was right behind him with 4 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. Hadari Darden recorded the only sack for their defense in that game and no one came away with an interception. They have scored 123 points in their first 6 games averaging 20.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 143 points against them allowing 23.83 PPG. Their offense is averaging 333.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 369.8 YPG.
San Diego State vs San Jose State Prediction
SJSU lost in their last game to CSU and that has to be a tough loss as CSU is not very good. They also had New Mexico State the week before and they only won that game by 6 points, New Mexico State is in the bottom 5 of the FBS. SDSU is scoring a good amount of points on offense this year as they are averaging over 35 points per game. They were able to hold a bad New Mexico team to 7 points in their last game and their defense has been looking good all year. The best bet to make in this game is on SDSU to cover the spread here as their offense is moving the ball and scoring well while their defense will likely hold SJSU to a low amount of points.
San Diego State San Jose State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, October 15, 2021 (10:30 pm ET start time) is SDSU 38 SJSU 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
San Diego State Aztecs: 37-46 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 51-61 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 104-152 O/U in all games. 28-58 O/U when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 49-75 O/U as a favorite. 42-77 O/U in road games.
San Jose State Spartans: 146-138 ATS in all games. 36-31 ATS as a home underdog. 63-56 ATS in home games. 98-91 ATS against conference opponents.
San Diego State Aztecs: None.
San Jose State Spartans: N. Starkel (QB) day-to-day - Arm injury.
Players to Watch
San Diego State Aztecs: Greg Bell is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a game where he had over 100 rushing yards and he is a big threat when they get near the goal line. Look for him to continue his great play in this game having a big day on the ground and finding the end zone.
San Jose State Spartans: Tyler Nevens is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He was quiet in their last game so he will be looking to bounce back in this one with a much better performance. He is a big part of their offense so look for him to get a lot of touches and find the end zone.
"These guys have worked hard and you can't say enough about our coaches and our players. As much as anything, the leadership of our seniors, they have really done a nice job." - Brady Hoke on his team’s 5-0 start to the season this year.
"Their tight end is an NFL player. They beat you with their physicality running the football, then throw it over your head.” - Brent Brennan on CSU’s TE before they ended up losing to them.
San Diego State Aztecs
WR Kothe, Elijah
WR Matthews, Jesse
WR Busbee, BJ
TE Bellinger, Daniel
TE Rudolph, Jay
QB Brookshire, Jordon
RB Bell, Greg
RB Byrd, Jordan
San Jose State Spartans
WR Miller, Malikhi
WR Hamilton, Isaiah
WR Braddock, Jermaine
TE Deese Jr., Derrick
QB Nash, Nick
RB Nevens, Tyler
San Diego State Aztecs
Passing: J. Brookshire (428)
Rushing: G. Bell (520)
Receiving: D. Bellinger (163)
Touchdowns: G. Bell (5)
Sacks: C. McDonald (3.5)
Tackles: N. Tumblin (17)
San Jose State Spartans
Passing: N. Starkel (992)
Rushing: T. Nevens (406)
Receiving: D. Deese (334)
Touchdowns: T. Nevens (3)
Sacks: V. Fehoko (3)
Tackles: N. Shelton (29)
San Diego State Aztecs: Brady Hoke (2nd season)
San Jose State Spartans: Brent Brennan (5th season)
64 degrees F sunny, 31% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 10 mph wind speeds N.